Part of: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,045.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable trader takes Reds spread

A highly profitable, established trader placed an outsized $3.3K Reds bet in a thin market, though the wallet's modest win rate limits confidence.

  • This trader is up $3.1M lifetime across more than 17,000 resolved bets.
  • The $3,320 Reds position is unusually large for a thin market, exceeding the detected $250 in 24-hour volume.
  • The market has moved sharply, with odds changing 26% over the past day, adding significance to the trade.

$3,320 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 56%

Serial trader makes quiet-market wager

A serial cross-market trader placed a sizable $3,725 position on Cincinnati in an unusually quiet, thinly traded market, though their historical record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • This trader committed $3,725 to Cincinnati at 64¢—more than 14 times the market’s available liquidity-trading volume over 24 hours.
  • The wallet has traded across 1,045 events and is up nearly $2.0 million lifetime.
  • Their 60% win rate at an average winning entry of 61¢ is respectable but does not establish a strong edge here.

$3,725 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 10462388, $1,498 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 10462388, $636 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x2396...9485 Outcome 10462388, $234 (87% win rate)
  4. 0xcc50...df9b Outcome 10462388, $200
  5. 0x92f5...52a2 Outcome 10462388, $90 (75% win rate)
  6. 0xfed7...e405 Outcome 10462388, $50 (97% win rate)
  7. 0x8935...7daa Outcome 10462388, $20
  8. 0xb4bf...60f8 Outcome 10462388, $10 (80% win rate)
  9. 0xaff5...915c Outcome 10462388, $9
  10. 0x88c5...4815 Outcome 10462388, $8 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

Giants-Athletics slugfest expected

Covers 4 related markets

Timberwolves win high-scoring upset

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Game lands on ten runs

Covers 3 related markets

Dodgers win in a high-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Marlins beat the Mets

Covers 1 related market

Cubs Braves exceed low total

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Yankees win by five plus

Covers 1 related market

Astros beat Brewers

Covers 1 related market

Marlins win by five plus

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

ResolvedMilwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds$7,045 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 4 at 6:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIL
10
88-54
Final
CIN
7
67-74
MIL -155CIN +128O/U 9.5
Venue
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Attendance
30,450

Notable Trades

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

7d ago

$3,320 on Cincinnati Reds at 36¢

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

7d ago

$3,725 on Cincinnati Reds at 64¢

Related Theses