Part of: Morocco vs. Haiti - More Markets
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $269,550.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
23-wallet Haiti surge
Massive coordinated one-sided flow is buying Haiti on the Morocco -2.5 spread, with 23 wallets and sharp price movement despite this specific wallet having poor historical P&L.
- 23 wallets are all buying Haiti, totaling about $2.6M on the same side.
- Haiti moved from the bettor’s average entry near 82¢ to 92¢ after heavy pre-game volume.
- Market volume spiked nearly 300x versus normal, suggesting a major pre-event repricing.
$9,543 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 53%
23-wallet Haiti surge
Massive coordinated one-sided flow is buying Haiti on the Morocco -2.5 spread, with 23 wallets and sharp price movement despite this specific wallet having poor historical P&L.
- 23 wallets are all buying Haiti, totaling about $2.6M on the same side.
- Haiti moved from the bettor’s average entry near 82¢ to 92¢ after heavy pre-game volume.
- Market volume spiked nearly 300x versus normal, suggesting a major pre-event repricing.
$15,725 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp cluster on longshot spread
Seven wallets, including several highly profitable sports bettors, put $70.7k on Morocco -2.5 before the market moved sharply against them.
- Seven wallets bought the same Morocco spread outcome for $70.7k, led by a $50k single bet.
- Several bettors have strong records, including wallets up $7.2M, $2.0M, and $1.4M lifetime.
- The trade is now far cheaper than their 27–29¢ entries, but the market has moved against them to 8¢.
$70,660 on Morocco
12-wallet one-sided cluster
Surfacing despite this wallet’s weak history because 12 wallets are buying the same side alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- 12 wallets bought the same side for about $31.9K, including linked wallets sharing a funder.
- Market volume spiked 168x above normal before the match, suggesting a coordinated move into Morocco -2.5.
- This wallet flipped from Haiti to Morocco and put $14.7K behind the new position.
$14,739 on Morocco | Wallet win rate: 46%
94% sharp buying spread
Elite 94% win-rate sports bettor is buying Morocco -2.5 alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $295k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 219 events with the same 94% win rate.
- Three wallets bought Morocco the same way, alongside a 168x pre-game volume spike.
$1,289 on Morocco | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp cluster buying Haiti
High-conviction one-sided Haiti flow includes a proven sharp wallet with 88% wins and $3.3M profit, plus a 23.6x pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M joined this Haiti position.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $30K, pushing Haiti from about 61–63¢ to 66¢.
- Volume is 23.6x above normal before the match, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$30,352 on Haiti
$124K Haiti cluster
High-conviction one-sided flow into Haiti, with 5 wallets buying $124K amid a 168x pre-event volume spike and supportive price movement.
- Five wallets put $124K on Haiti, far larger than the opposing Morocco flow.
- Market volume spiked 168x before the game, and Haiti has already moved up about 8 points today.
- One participating wallet wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $228K lifetime, though its trade was smaller.
$124,241 on Haiti
80% winner buying underdog spread
Surfacing because a profitable sports bettor with an 80% record and strong edge bought Morocco -2.5 despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 80% of resolved trades and is up $8.6K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at about 41¢ average odds, suggesting they have found value in underpriced outcomes.
- They bought Morocco at 40¢ on a liquid World Cup spread market, implying they see more upside than the current 36–37¢ price.
$1,000 on Morocco | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner buying spread
Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with 83% historical win rate and +$343k P&L bought Morocco -2.5 at 40¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $343k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 225 events with $888k tracked in similar activity.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see Morocco winning by 3+ as mispriced.
$2,000 on Morocco | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 70641402, $172,414 (94% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 70641402, $49,475 (70% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 70641402, $39,689 (55% win rate)
- 0xdb15...8393 — Outcome 70641402, $33,824 (67% win rate)
- 0x7d2f...ef1a — Outcome 70641402, $28,179 (56% win rate)
- 0x502e...5442 — Outcome 70641402, $18,366 (68% win rate)
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 70641402, $14,500 (97% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 70641402, $13,135 (71% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 70641402, $10,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x910d...0d1c — Outcome 70641402, $6,660 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
Celtic fail to win
Covers 1 related market
