Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,843.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
95% winner buying underdog
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet is leading a same-direction Sweden position across multiple related markets, backed by coordinated flow and a major event-volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $6.1M is buying Sweden around 22–24¢.
- Three wallets are all taking the same Sweden side, totaling $10.3K in this spread market.
- This is part of a much larger event thesis: the sharp wallet has traded 4 related markets and $130K on the same game.
$10,343 on Sweden
Perfect 21-for-21 bettor
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a perfect 21/21 resolved record with positive P&L and is buying Sweden at 60¢.
- This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved trades and is up $4.3k lifetime.
- They are backing Sweden at 60¢, meaning Netherlands does not win by 3+ goals.
- The market is highly liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s unusually strong track record.
$1,290 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
High-conviction Sweden spread buy from a profitable serial cross-market trader, backed by same-side wallet flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 66% of resolved bets and is up $416K lifetime.
- They put $26.8K on Sweden, adding to a five-wallet same-side flow worth $50.8K.
- Market activity spiked 340x ahead of the match, suggesting broader positioning on this side.
$26,821 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 66%
Sharp cluster driving breakout
Three wallets bought $20k of Netherlands as the market broke sharply upward, including one bettor with a 93% record and another with strong lifetime profit.
- A bettor who wins 93% of resolved bets joined this move and is up $8.3K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $20.4K of Netherlands in the same direction as the price surged from around 41¢ to 80¢.
- Market volume is 58x normal, suggesting a real pre-game information or momentum shift.
$20,389 on Netherlands
88% win-rate spread bettor
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 88% record made a $5k buy on Sweden +2.5 despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor has won 88% of resolved bets and is up about $3,024 lifetime.
- They put $5,000 on Sweden +2.5 at 86¢, showing meaningful conviction on the favorite cover not happening.
- Their past wins came at average odds of 70%, so the record is stronger than simply backing huge favorites.
$5,000 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x3496...8fc4 — Outcome 77145314, $205,494 (66% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 77145314, $35,364 (95% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 77145314, $7,828 (55% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 77145314, $7,425 (64% win rate)
- 0x945a...a881 — Outcome 77145314, $5,814 (88% win rate)
- 0x806e...2e52 — Outcome 77145314, $4,168 (100% win rate)
- 0x5b45...362b — Outcome 77145314, $3,521 (41% win rate)
- 0x1e98...0bbf — Outcome 77145314, $3,083 (69% win rate)
- 0xaa4c...7bfd — Outcome 77145314, $2,432 (78% win rate)
- 0x83d9...10d9 — Outcome 77145314, $2,396 (70% win rate)
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