This bettor has won 81% of resolved positions, going 26 for 32 so far. Their wins have come at an average 40¢ entry, making this 31¢ spread bet a similar plus-money setup. They put $2,000 on Netherlands to win by 4+ goals in a liquid World Cup market.

Part of: Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets

Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,010.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Coordinated Tunisia-side flow is backed by a profitable serial cross-market trader, though one leg appears to be profit-taking from a prior Netherlands position.

One bettor in the cluster has won 65% of 1,036 resolved bets and is up about $449K lifetime.
Three wallets put $8.7K on Tunisia covering the +3.5 spread, with entries around 55¢–62¢.
This same trader has bet across 92 events and 116 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-market strategy.

$8,713 on Tunisia

Profitable bettor in split flow

High-volume pre-match move with a profitable 88% bettor buying Netherlands, though there is notable larger linked money on the other side.

A bettor who wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $91k bought Netherlands around 59–60¢.
Netherlands saw a sharp 34-point price move during a 40x volume spike before the match.
There is conflicting flow: 5 linked wallets put $34k on Tunisia, so this is a high-signal but contested market.

$10,320 on Netherlands

Profitable cross-market cluster

Three wallets bought Tunisia +3.5 in the same window, backed by broad cross-market positioning and one profitable serial event trader, though the largest buyer has weak lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought $10.8k of Tunisia, with entries around 51¢ before the market moved to 60¢.
One wallet in the cluster wins 65% of resolved bets and is up about $449k lifetime.
The same event has seen $62.8k across 8 related markets, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$10,810 on Tunisia

89% winner backing favorite spread

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and $1.43M lifetime profit bought Netherlands -3.5 at 31¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.43M lifetime.
They have bet across 259 events with the same strong track record, making the wallet itself the signal.
Entry at 31¢ implies a roughly 3.2x payout if Netherlands win by 4 or more.

$3,166 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 87%

81% sports bettor

A high-win-rate sports bettor with 26 wins in 32 resolved positions bought Netherlands -3.5 at 31¢, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

This bettor has won 81% of resolved positions, going 26 for 32 so far.
Their wins have come at an average 40¢ entry, making this 31¢ spread bet a similar plus-money setup.
They put $2,000 on Netherlands to win by 4+ goals in a liquid World Cup market.

$2,000 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 82%