What does New York Liberty -12.5 mean in this prediction market?

New York Liberty -12.5 means the Liberty must win by at least 13 points for the market to resolve to New York Liberty. If they win by 12 or fewer, lose, or the game is tied, the market resolves to PortlandFire.

When does the Liberty vs Portland Fire spread market resolve?

The market is tied to the WNBA game scheduled for May 12 at 10:00 PM ET and has a listed resolution date of May 13, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It resolves after the completed game result is known.

What happens if the Liberty vs Portland Fire game is postponed or canceled?

If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.

How much smart money is tracked on this Liberty spread market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,883 in smart money on this market, with 1 smart money signal. Recent alerts indicate 94% winner buying spread and 87% winner backing spread.

Where can I follow New York Liberty spread prediction market odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to track Polymarket odds, smart money activity, and signal alerts for whether New York Liberty will cover the -12.5 spread.

Part of: New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire

Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)

This prediction market tracks whether the New York Liberty will cover a -12.5 spread against Portland Fire in their WNBA game scheduled for May 12 at 10:00 PM ET. It resolves to New York Liberty if they win by 13 or more points; otherwise, it resolves to PortlandFire, including if the game ends tied. PolySpotter is tracking $1,883 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent alerts showing strong winner buying on the spread.

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Liberty" if the New York Liberty win the game by 13 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "PortlandFire". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "PortlandFire". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,199.

Categories: Sports, Games, WNBA

Notable Trades

94% winner buying spread

Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is buying New York Liberty -12.5 at 47¢.

This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved trades and is up $309K lifetime.
They are buying New York Liberty at 47¢, implying they see the spread as underpriced.
The bet is meaningful at $1.9K on a market with $24K total volume.

$1,883 on New York Liberty | Wallet win rate: 94%

87% winner backing spread

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an exceptional 87% resolved win rate and +$2.2M lifetime P&L, making even a modest WNBA spread buy worth surfacing.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.2M lifetime.
They bought PortlandFire at 52¢, meaning they are backing Liberty to win by 12 or fewer or not win.
The wallet has been flagged repeatedly before, suggesting this is part of a proven betting pattern.

$1,317 on PortlandFire | Wallet win rate: 87%