Part of: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,725.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp Mets run-line cluster

Three wallets, including highly profitable sports bettors, bought Mets -1.5 in size before a major move to 100%, making this a strong sharp-flow signal but no longer actionable above the suggested ceiling.

  • Three wallets bought the same side for $11.1K, pushing the Mets from around 36–77¢ to 100¢.
  • One bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $972K, while another is up $708K with a 95% record.
  • The best entries were at 36¢, implying they saw a roughly 2.8x payoff before the market fully moved.

$11,149 on New York Mets

Elite MLB sharp buying favorite

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Mets -1.5 into a major upward price move.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $971K lifetime.
  • They bought Mets -1.5 at 77¢ as the market surged roughly 41 points from its prior range.
  • Entry at 77¢ suggests confidence even after a big move, with the market now bid near 78¢.

$1,498 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 91%

High-volume winner adding across event

A highly profitable, high-volume wallet is adding to an existing Phillies spread position while also trading multiple related markets in the same MLB game.

  • This wallet is up $1.86M lifetime across $133.7M traded.
  • It already had a $10.9K Phillies position and added again at 64¢.
  • It is positioned across 3 related markets in this game with $22.8K total exposure.

$1,078 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 53%

94% sports sharp adding

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% track record is adding to an existing Mets spread position in a quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $621,941 lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing Mets position, with over $18,000 now invested around 36¢.
  • This $5,000 buy is larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, signaling strong conviction.

$5,000 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 55102441, $4,139 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x9351...ef0f Outcome 55102441, $900 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 55102441, $776 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x2714...960f Outcome 55102441, $769
  5. 0x2735...42eb Outcome 55102441, $724 (83% win rate)
  6. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 55102441, $628
  7. 0x864a...7cac Outcome 55102441, $431
  8. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 55102441, $390 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x09ee...90a4 Outcome 55102441, $169 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xfd3f...a8bd Outcome 55102441, $131

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Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

ResolvedNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$18,725 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 16 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYM
1
41-57
Live
2
0-0, 1 out
PHI
2
54-44
NYM +144PHI -175O/U 9
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Weather
89° Partly sunny

Notable Trades

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

1d ago

$11,149 on New York Mets at 42¢

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,498 on New York Mets at 77¢

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,078 on Philadelphia Phillies at 64¢

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

1d ago

$5,000 on New York Mets at 36¢

Related Theses