Part of: North Carolina vs. Clemson

Spread: North Carolina (-3.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,106.

Categories: Sports, CFB, Games

Notable Trades

Large bettor drove North Carolina repricing

A large, concentrated North Carolina position drove a sharp repricing in a thin market, though the wallet's historical record is only moderately predictive.

  • This wallet put about $9,500 into North Carolina between 50¢ and 63¢, and the market has since moved to 78%.
  • The trades represented most of the market's reported activity, alongside a 32x volume spike versus its historical average.
  • The wallet has made $3.9M lifetime but wins 55% of resolved bets, so the price movement is a stronger signal than its track record.

$12,064 on North Carolina | Wallet win rate: 55%

Four-wallet Clemson conviction

A four-wallet Clemson cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike indicate meaningful coordinated positioning despite this wallet's only modest historical edge.

  • Four wallets are buying Clemson, with $36,185 concentrated on the same outcome.
  • Trading surged to 203.8 times the historical average while the market moved sharply toward Clemson.
  • This wallet has a large 47,617-bet sample and $3.87 million in lifetime profit, though its 55% win rate is only modest evidence of an edge.

$10,042 on Clemson | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0x796f...00f6 Outcome 10035996, $410 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x6733...ab7b Outcome 10035996, $63
  3. 0x95f5...779f Outcome 10035996, $12

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

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Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

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Yankees win a low-scoring game

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Boston Red Sox win the game

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Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter

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White Sox win a low-scoring game

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Cubs win a close, seven-run game

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Mariners win a low-scoring game

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Royals win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Giants win a one-run, 8-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: North Carolina (-3.5)

ResolvedNorth Carolina vs. Clemson$22,106 tracked2 signalsSportsCFBGames

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Clemson". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: North Carolina (-3.5)

3d ago

$12,064 on North Carolina at 56¢

Spread: North Carolina (-3.5)

3d ago

$10,042 on Clemson at 37¢

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