Part of: Norway vs. Senegal - More Markets
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Norway" if Norway win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Senegal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $335,676.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
5-wallet event flow
High composite alert driven by event-wide volume spikes, cross-market positioning, and a 5-wallet one-sided flow, though the main wallet itself has no proven positive edge.
- Five wallets are betting the same event direction, totaling about $20k in one-sided flow.
- Event volume spiked up to 128x normal across related markets before this move.
- This wallet bought about $7.9k of Senegal at 79–80¢, and the price has already moved to 86¢.
$29,807 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 58%
7-wallet underdog cluster
High-scoring one-sided cluster on Senegal includes multiple profitable bettors, though some Norway sells may be profit-taking after a big price move.
- Seven wallets put $18.2K on the Senegal +1.5 side within the scan window.
- One wallet in the cluster wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $15K lifetime.
- Another direct Senegal buyer has a strong long-term record: 65% wins and +$2.4M P&L.
$18,241 on Senegal
Sharp cluster on underdog spread
High-score coordinated Senegal position with $93k one-sided flow and two profitable 80%+ bettors, though the market has moved sharply against the early entries.
- Seven wallets put $93k on Senegal covering the +1.5 spread.
- Two bettors in the cluster win 80%+ of resolved bets and are up a combined $47k.
- Several sharp entries are effectively 31–35¢ on Senegal, while the market has swung hard toward Norway.
$92,985 on Senegal
Sharp bettor fading favorite
Sharp profitable wallet took the Senegal side after a huge Norway move, with additional one-sided Senegal flow from 4 wallets.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $32.6K lifetime.
- Four wallets put $38.9K on the Senegal side in the same window.
- Norway jumped 54 points in a day, and this sharp wallet sold into that move.
$2,036 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 84%
97% winner leads Norway cluster
A highly profitable 97% winner led a Norway buy cluster amid a major pre-event price surge, with another profitable wallet also buying the same side.
- A bettor who has won 97% of resolved positions and is up $414K bought $7.5K of Norway at 69¢.
- Four wallets bought $13.9K on the same side as Norway jumped to 76¢ after a huge 25x volume spike.
- Another profitable wallet with an 83% record also bought Norway early at 32¢.
$13,866 on Norway
79% sharp in funded cluster
Sharp 79% lifetime wallet with positive P&L is buying Senegal alongside a funded 4-wallet cluster and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $23,149 lifetime.
- Four wallets sharing the same funder are active here, adding conviction beyond a single bet.
- Market volume is 27.6x above its usual pace before kickoff, with this sharp buying Senegal at 70¢.
$1,301 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 80%
5-wallet event flow
High composite alert driven by event-wide volume spikes, cross-market positioning, and a 5-wallet one-sided flow, though the main wallet itself has no proven positive edge.
- Five wallets are betting the same event direction, totaling about $20k in one-sided flow.
- Event volume spiked up to 128x normal across related markets before this move.
- This wallet bought about $7.9k of Senegal at 79–80¢, and the price has already moved to 86¢.
$30,250 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 58%
5-wallet event flow
High composite alert driven by event-wide volume spikes, cross-market positioning, and a 5-wallet one-sided flow, though the main wallet itself has no proven positive edge.
- Five wallets are betting the same event direction, totaling about $20k in one-sided flow.
- Event volume spiked up to 128x normal across related markets before this move.
- This wallet bought about $7.9k of Senegal at 79–80¢, and the price has already moved to 86¢.
$27,908 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a large lifetime edge is backing Senegal +1.5 before a high-volume World Cup spread market resolves.
- This bettor is up $1.49M lifetime across 2,881 resolved bets.
- They have traded across 138 events and 304 related markets, with a 70% win rate.
- They bought Senegal at 79¢, backing them to lose by one goal or better.
$2,099 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with $603k lifetime P&L bought Senegal on the spread amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $603k lifetime across 2,379 resolved trades.
- They have a 67% record while typically entering around 54¢, suggesting real pricing edge.
- The buy came just before kickoff as market volume spiked 11x versus its usual pace.
$1,610 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 61%
Related Theses
Switzerland wins close high-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Chargers keep pace in shootout
Covers 3 related markets
Texans beat the Colts
Covers 3 related markets
Rams win by at least four
Covers 4 related markets
Hornets win by exactly two
Covers 5 related markets
Pacers edge Bucks in low-scoring game
Covers 4 related markets
