Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

This Polymarket spread market asks whether the Denver Nuggets will beat the Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 or more points in the NBA game scheduled for April 23 at 9:30 PM ET. The market resolves to Nuggets if Denver wins by at least 2; otherwise it resolves to Timberwolves, including if the game ends tied. It is set to resolve after the game is completed, with cancellation leading to a 50-50 resolution if no make-up game is played.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 23 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,741.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

92% win-rate bettor

A high-win-rate bettor is taking the Nuggets side at 45¢ in a moderately thin spread market, which is notable despite the weak automated score.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $13.2k overall.
  • Selling Timberwolves at 45¢ is equivalent to buying Nuggets at 55¢ in a market now sitting around 50¢.
  • The bet was large versus the order book, with $3.8k traded in a market with only $4.3k of liquidity.

$3,829 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% win-rate sports bettor

A high-win-rate wallet with a 92% record made a nearly $5k bet into a modest sports market, making this worth surfacing despite the weak raw alert score.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $13.2k overall.
  • They put nearly $5k on Timberwolves in a market with just $9.1k of 24-hour volume.
  • Their 58¢ entry is now available around 50¢, giving a better follow price than the original bet.

$4,912 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6814...a9e7 — Nuggets, $496
  2. 0x2d6a...8add — Timberwolves, $206
  3. 0xbc08...6b85 — Nuggets, $199
  4. 0xda16...6da2 — Timberwolves, $196
  5. 0xcf73...0215 — Timberwolves, $188 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xadfb...c2ef — Timberwolves, $158
  7. 0xb946...2671 — Nuggets, $144
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c — Timberwolves, $110
  9. 0x066f...b576 — Nuggets, $41
  10. 0x51f7...ae1f — Nuggets, $20

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

2d$8,741 tracked2 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Nuggets
50¢
Timberwolves
51¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 23 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DEN
—
54-28
Target Center
MIN
—
49-33
Draft Kings
Spread: DEN -1.5O/U: 233.5ML: -118/-102
Win Prob
—
Poly: 50¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

4h ago

$3,829 on Nuggets at 55¢

55¢→50¢↓5¢

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

5h ago

$4,912 on Timberwolves at 58¢

58¢→51¢↓7¢