Part of: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $104,797.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp sports bettor

A proven high-volume bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.45M profit is backing Nuggets -10.5 at 53¢, making this a follow-worthy sharp sports bet despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 3,567 resolved trades and is up $6.45M lifetime
  • They've traded 1,313 markets across 1,091 events, which points to a seasoned repeat edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Nuggets -10.5 at 53¢, a fairly liquid price level with room to follow up to about 58¢

$1,007 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 67%

9-wallet linked sports cluster

Nine coordinated wallets, including linked funding and repeated new-wallet activity, put $65k on Timberwolves +10.5 during a 171x volume spike, a strong one-sided conviction signal worth surfacing despite mixed individual track records.

  • Nine wallets piled into Timberwolves +10.5 for $65k, and five share the same funder.
  • The market saw a 171x volume spike as this buying hit, showing unusually strong one-sided demand.
  • Several wallets in the group are repeat high-size bettors, with one newly created wallet already flagged 59 times for $1.39M in large bets.

$65,181 on Timberwolves

94% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven sports-style bettor with a 94% win rate and $2.39M profit is opening a fresh position on Nuggets -10.5 at 55¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $2.39M lifetime.
  • They have placed nearly $895k across 49 related markets and 41 events, showing a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • Bought Nuggets -10.5 at 55¢, a price that implies they see the spread as better than a coin flip.

$2,628 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 94%

4-wallet linked sports cluster

Four wallets piled $24k into Nuggets -10.5 at the same moment, including three linked wallets, creating a strong coordinated sports signal despite only modest individual track records.

  • Four wallets bought Nuggets -10.5 within seconds, totaling $24.1k, and three of them share the same funder.
  • This market saw a 1691x volume spike, suggesting a sudden rush of conviction rather than routine betting.
  • Two of the wallets are profitable over thousands of resolved bets, including one with a 60% win rate across nearly 6,000 markets.

$24,117 on Nuggets

80% win-rate sharp bettor

A very profitable high-volume sports bettor with an 80% win rate is taking Nuggets -10.5 at 54¢, making this a credible sharp bet despite the modest size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.24M lifetime across nearly $30M invested.
  • They trade heavily across related markets and events, with 196 events and 204 markets tracked.
  • Buying Nuggets -10.5 at 54¢ suggests they see the spread as better than a coin flip.

$2,018 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume sports bettor with a long profitable history and 69% win rate is taking a fresh $6.4k position on Nuggets -10.5 at 53¢.

  • This bettor has won 332 of 479 resolved trades and is up about $670k overall.
  • They have traded across 123 related markets and nearly $1.0M of event-driven positions, which suggests a repeatable process.
  • They bought Nuggets -10.5 at 53¢, a fairly balanced price that leaves room if their edge is real.

$6,392 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable new wallet betting big

A very new wallet is already profitable and keeps betting meaningful size, suggesting early skill or informed conviction despite the modest absolute stake.

  • This wallet is less than 2 days old, has already placed 4 positions, and is up $2.5k
  • They have won all 3 resolved bets so far and are buying again at 52¢
  • The bet is not huge, but repeat sizing from a new profitable wallet is worth tracking

$1,081 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active, profitable cross-market trader with 2,760 resolved bets bought Timberwolves +10.5 at 48¢, and the size was large relative to this market’s recent activity.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 2,760 resolved trades and is up about $787k lifetime.
  • They bought Timberwolves +10.5 at 48¢, a price that implies nearly even odds on the spread.
  • The $2.4k order was 84% of this market’s recent volume, showing real conviction despite a modest overall alert score.

$2,372 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 10970045, $15,244 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 10970045, $2,027 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x4321...8fdc Outcome 10970045, $1,863
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10970045, $1,787 (67% win rate)
  5. 0xdb27...c56e Outcome 10970045, $1,359 (90% win rate)
  6. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 10970045, $1,315
  7. 0x5e8a...a5bc Outcome 10970045, $820 (72% win rate)
  8. 0xbb0b...3790 Outcome 10970045, $505 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x228b...af4c Outcome 10970045, $469
  10. 0x7291...3d0f Outcome 10970045, $145

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

ResolvedTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$104,797 tracked8 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
49-33
Ball Arena
DEN
54-28
Draft Kings
Spread: DEN -11.5O/U: 226.5ML: +390/-520
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

44d ago

$1,007 on Nuggets at 53¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

44d ago

$65,181 on Timberwolves at 45¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

44d ago

$2,628 on Nuggets at 55¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

44d ago

$24,117 on Nuggets at 55¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

44d ago

$2,018 on Nuggets at 54¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

44d ago

$6,392 on Nuggets at 53¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

45d ago

$1,081 on Nuggets at 52¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

45d ago

$2,372 on Timberwolves at 48¢

Related Theses