Part of: Thunder vs. Nuggets

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,857.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor caught misprice

A highly profitable sports bettor with 2,680 resolved bets bought Nuggets at 50¢ before the market snapped to 87%, creating a strong copyable signal despite only one detection firing.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 2,680 resolved trades and is up $1.67M lifetime.
  • They bought Nuggets at 50¢, and the market is now 87¢ after a fast 35-point move.
  • Getting in at 50¢ suggests they saw a major mispricing in a still tradable market.

$1,284 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 69%

90% win-rate sports bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.13M profit is taking the Thunder +10.5 side, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades across 1,172 resolved positions and is up $1.13M lifetime
  • They have bet across 73 markets in 59 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Thunder at 69¢, showing conviction that Denver is less likely than the market implies to cover -10.5

$1,357 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable high-volume sports trader with 162 resolved bets and a 65% win rate is taking the Thunder side across multiple same-event markets, suggesting a deliberate game thesis rather than a one-off bet.

  • This bettor has won 106 of 162 resolved trades and is up about $67k overall.
  • They have traded 184 markets across 164 events, so this looks like a repeatable approach rather than a random bet.
  • They bought Thunder at 67¢ and the market is now 70¢, showing early confirmation of their read.

$2,216 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcb84...08a9 Outcome 78761223, $3,304 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x6a32...0086 Outcome 78761223, $3,300 (78% win rate)
  3. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 78761223, $1,179 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 78761223, $1,121 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xa85b...eb0e Outcome 78761223, $616 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x202f...7b58 Outcome 78761223, $198 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x16ea...9400 Outcome 78761223, $122
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 78761223, $73 (72% win rate)
  9. 0x0f8c...686f Outcome 78761223, $70
  10. 0xbd3c...fc78 Outcome 78761223, $70

Related Theses

Thunder win by seven

Covers 9 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

ResolvedThunder vs. Nuggets$4,857 tracked3 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

OKC
64-17
Ball Arena
DEN
53-28
Draft Kings
Spread: DEN -2.5O/U: 223.5ML: +120/-142
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

45d ago

$1,284 on Nuggets at 50¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

45d ago

$1,357 on Thunder at 69¢

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

45d ago

$2,216 on Thunder at 67¢

Related Theses