Part of: Mavericks vs. Nuggets

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $197,659.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

This is notable coordinated live-sports flow because three wallets bought Mavericks for $91.8k in a market that had only $778 of prior 24h volume, and one of the wallets is an elite 96% win-rate serial cross-market trader.

  • A bettor who wins 96% of their trades and has put over $17.4M to work joined this Mavericks buy cluster.
  • Three wallets bought $91.8k on Mavericks in a market that had only $778 of 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • Most of the buying came at 52-55¢ just minutes before resolution, suggesting they saw the spread as mispriced late.

$91,824 on Mavericks

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 95% win rate is part of a 10-wallet, $87.7k one-sided wave into a very thin NBA spread market, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $415.9k across more than $1.0M staked
  • 10 wallets all piled into Nuggets, with $87.7k bet the same way in this market
  • The wallet bought at 49¢ in a market that had only $778 of 24h volume, showing outsized conviction

$15,000 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 93%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and $6.4M profit made a $16.2k buy on Mavericks +11.5 in an extremely quiet market, suggesting conviction despite limited market activity.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime across 241 settled bets
  • They bought $16.2k of Mavericks +11.5 in a market with just $778 of 24-hour volume
  • This wallet has traded 85 markets across 63 events, so this looks like a repeat sharp bettor rather than a random whale

$16,200 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 61%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor put $10.6k into a very quiet spread market at 46¢, taking a price below current 50¢ and representing over 13x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor has won 413 of 725 resolved bets and is up $1.19M overall
  • They bought $10.6k at 46¢ in a market that had only $778 of 24-hour volume
  • The price is already up from 46¢ to 50¢, showing immediate favorable movement

$10,649 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 58%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A profitable sports bettor made a nearly $3.9k live bet on Mavericks +11.5 just 4.5 minutes before resolution in a market with only $778 of 24h volume, a strong conviction signal despite a middling composite score.

  • This bettor is up $21.8k across 133 resolved trades and wins 56% of the time
  • They put $3,882 into Mavericks +11.5 just 4.5 minutes before resolution
  • That single bet was about 5x the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market

$3,882 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 70%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large bets just put nearly $9.7k into a very thin NBA spread market at 47¢, a size that dwarfs recent volume and suggests real conviction.

  • A 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 8 times for large bets, with $55.4k total flagged activity
  • This bet was $9.7k in a market with just $778 of 24-hour volume, so it overwhelmed normal trading
  • They bought Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢, and the market is already 50¢, implying early favorable movement

$9,673 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 46%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just put $3.4k into a very quiet NBA spread market at 47¢, a size that dwarfed recent volume and suggests real conviction.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling $42.5k
  • This $3.4k buy was 434% of the market’s 24-hour volume, so the bettor is sizing up in a quiet market
  • They bought Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢ and the market is now 50¢, showing early follow-through

$3,377 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 46%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate made a $10.9k buy into a very quiet NBA spread market at 47¢, a size large enough to dwarf recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $242k across 184 bets
  • They bought $10.9k of Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢ in a market with only $778 of 24h volume
  • The wallet has traded 282 markets across 264 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

$10,944 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 65%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A bettor with a perfect 33-0 resolved record put $3.7k into a very quiet spread market at 47¢, suggesting a sharp entry despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor has won 33 of 33 resolved trades and is up $65.5k lifetime
  • They bought Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢ in a market with only $778 of 24h volume
  • The price is now 50¢, so the entry already looks better than the current market

$3,700 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 96%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A bettor with a 93% win rate and nearly $1.94M in profits just put $10k into a very quiet spread market at 49¢, suggesting sharp conviction despite the low composite score.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.94M lifetime
  • They bought $10k at 49¢ in a market with only $778 of 24-hour volume
  • Entry near 50¢ suggests they see the spread as meaningfully mispriced

$10,000 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 58%

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

Mavericks vs. Nuggets$197,659 tracked11 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Nuggets
0¢
Mavericks
100¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DAL
135
23-50
Final
Ball Arena
DEN
142
46-28
Draft Kings
Spread: DEN -10.5O/U: 246.5ML: +470/-650
Win Prob
—
Poly: 0¢
Last Play
—

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 09:30 UTC

$91,824 on Mavericks at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 09:30 UTC

$15,000 on Nuggets at 49¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 02:21 UTC

$16,200 on Mavericks at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 02:21 UTC

$10,649 on Nuggets at 46¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 02:08 UTC

$3,882 on Mavericks at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 02:06 UTC

$9,673 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 01:44 UTC

$3,377 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 09:30 UTC

$10,944 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 01:14 UTC

$3,700 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 00:56 UTC

$10,000 on Nuggets at 49¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

2026-03-26 01:09 UTC

$22,410 on Nuggets at 47¢

Related Theses