Part of: Mavericks vs. Nuggets

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $197,659.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

This is notable coordinated live-sports flow because three wallets bought Mavericks for $91.8k in a market that had only $778 of prior 24h volume, and one of the wallets is an elite 96% win-rate serial cross-market trader.

  • A bettor who wins 96% of their trades and has put over $17.4M to work joined this Mavericks buy cluster.
  • Three wallets bought $91.8k on Mavericks in a market that had only $778 of 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • Most of the buying came at 52-55¢ just minutes before resolution, suggesting they saw the spread as mispriced late.

$91,824 on Mavericks

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 95% win rate is part of a 10-wallet, $87.7k one-sided wave into a very thin NBA spread market, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $415.9k across more than $1.0M staked
  • 10 wallets all piled into Nuggets, with $87.7k bet the same way in this market
  • The wallet bought at 49¢ in a market that had only $778 of 24h volume, showing outsized conviction

$15,000 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 93%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and $6.4M profit made a $16.2k buy on Mavericks +11.5 in an extremely quiet market, suggesting conviction despite limited market activity.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime across 241 settled bets
  • They bought $16.2k of Mavericks +11.5 in a market with just $778 of 24-hour volume
  • This wallet has traded 85 markets across 63 events, so this looks like a repeat sharp bettor rather than a random whale

$16,200 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 53%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor put $10.6k into a very quiet spread market at 46¢, taking a price below current 50¢ and representing over 13x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor has won 413 of 725 resolved bets and is up $1.19M overall
  • They bought $10.6k at 46¢ in a market that had only $778 of 24-hour volume
  • The price is already up from 46¢ to 50¢, showing immediate favorable movement

$10,649 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 58%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A profitable sports bettor made a nearly $3.9k live bet on Mavericks +11.5 just 4.5 minutes before resolution in a market with only $778 of 24h volume, a strong conviction signal despite a middling composite score.

  • This bettor is up $21.8k across 133 resolved trades and wins 56% of the time
  • They put $3,882 into Mavericks +11.5 just 4.5 minutes before resolution
  • That single bet was about 5x the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market

$3,882 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 57%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large bets just put nearly $9.7k into a very thin NBA spread market at 47¢, a size that dwarfs recent volume and suggests real conviction.

  • A 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 8 times for large bets, with $55.4k total flagged activity
  • This bet was $9.7k in a market with just $778 of 24-hour volume, so it overwhelmed normal trading
  • They bought Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢, and the market is already 50¢, implying early favorable movement

$9,673 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 46%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just put $3.4k into a very quiet NBA spread market at 47¢, a size that dwarfed recent volume and suggests real conviction.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling $42.5k
  • This $3.4k buy was 434% of the market’s 24-hour volume, so the bettor is sizing up in a quiet market
  • They bought Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢ and the market is now 50¢, showing early follow-through

$3,377 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 46%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate made a $10.9k buy into a very quiet NBA spread market at 47¢, a size large enough to dwarf recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $242k across 184 bets
  • They bought $10.9k of Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢ in a market with only $778 of 24h volume
  • The wallet has traded 282 markets across 264 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

$10,944 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 63%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A bettor with a perfect 33-0 resolved record put $3.7k into a very quiet spread market at 47¢, suggesting a sharp entry despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor has won 33 of 33 resolved trades and is up $65.5k lifetime
  • They bought Nuggets -11.5 at 47¢ in a market with only $778 of 24h volume
  • The price is now 50¢, so the entry already looks better than the current market

$3,700 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 96%

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

A bettor with a 93% win rate and nearly $1.94M in profits just put $10k into a very quiet spread market at 49¢, suggesting sharp conviction despite the low composite score.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.94M lifetime
  • They bought $10k at 49¢ in a market with only $778 of 24-hour volume
  • Entry near 50¢ suggests they see the spread as meaningfully mispriced

$10,000 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x08c5...43ed Outcome 89114865, $57,159 (58% win rate)
  2. 0xb6ae...4df8 Outcome 89114865, $48,644 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x163e...dc5b Outcome 89114865, $20,411 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xbb15...0f02 Outcome 89114865, $20,408 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xf303...5847 Outcome 89114865, $11,999
  6. 0x3a91...1769 Outcome 89114865, $9,894
  7. 0xbc37...2f65 Outcome 89114865, $9,681 (96% win rate)
  8. 0xbb6f...2653 Outcome 89114865, $7,872 (96% win rate)
  9. 0xd696...8a49 Outcome 89114865, $6,150 (89% win rate)
  10. 0x0d13...92f3 Outcome 89114865, $4,357 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

ResolvedMavericks vs. Nuggets$197,659 tracked11 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
DAL
23-50
Ball Arena
DEN
46-28
Draft Kings
Spread: DEN -10.5O/U: 246.5ML: +470/-650
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

44d ago

$91,824 on Mavericks at 53¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

44d ago

$15,000 on Nuggets at 49¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$16,200 on Mavericks at 54¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$10,649 on Nuggets at 46¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$3,882 on Mavericks at 55¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$9,673 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$3,377 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

44d ago

$10,944 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$3,700 on Nuggets at 47¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$10,000 on Nuggets at 49¢

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

45d ago

$22,410 on Nuggets at 47¢

Related Theses