Part of: Jazz vs. Nuggets

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $196,469.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

A linked 3-wallet cluster with prior history just made a market-dominating $5k buy, and the wallet itself has a large 418-bet sample with a solid 68% hit rate.

  • This wallet is part of a 3-wallet group funded by the same address and that linkage has shown up before
  • One bettor in the cluster has 418 resolved bets with a 68% win rate and $33k profit
  • The $5,048 buy was 93% of this market's daily volume, showing concentrated conviction in a thin market

$5,048 on Jazz | Wallet win rate: 64%

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 74% win rate flipped from a prior Jazz position into a sizable Nuggets bet in a thin spread market, making this a notable directional move despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor has won 1,022 of 1,372 resolved markets and is up about $602k lifetime.
  • They just put $3.5k on Nuggets -18.5 in a market where that single trade was 65% of the day’s volume.
  • This is a fresh reversal after closing an earlier Jazz position, showing a clear new view rather than routine profit-taking.

$3,511 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 70%

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

A profitable new wallet joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster buying Jazz in a thin spread market, a strong coordinated signal despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • 7 wallets bought Jazz together for $28.2k, including 2 wallets linked by funding
  • This wallet is only 14 days old but has won 6 of 6 resolved bets and is up $3.1k
  • They entered at 50¢ in a market with only $5.4k of daily volume, showing clear conviction

$4,432 on Jazz | Wallet win rate: 100%

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

Four wallets simultaneously put $174.9k on Nuggets -18.5 in a very thin market at 50¢, including multiple wallets with strong resolved-bet records, making this a high-conviction coordinated sports bet worth surfacing.

  • Four wallets hit the same side within seconds, putting $174,948 on Nuggets -18.5.
  • Two of these wallets are perfect on resolved bets so far, and another has won 13 of 15 trades.
  • They bought at 50¢ in a market that had only $5.4k of 24-hour volume, showing outsized conviction.

$174,948 on Nuggets

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

Seven wallets, including linked funding, all bought Jazz against the -18.5 spread in a thin market, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite this wallet’s only average personal track record.

  • 7 wallets all bought Jazz, putting $28.2k on the same side of this spread market
  • This single bet was $4.3k at 50¢ and made up 80% of the market’s 24-hour volume
  • Two wallets in the group share a funder, which adds weight to the one-sided move

$4,317 on Jazz | Wallet win rate: 74%

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

Seven wallets, including two with a shared funder, piled into Jazz at 50¢ for $28k total on a thin spread market, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite this wallet’s weak standalone win rate.

  • Seven wallets all bought Jazz, putting $28.2k behind the same side in this market
  • This single buy was $4.2k, equal to 78% of the market’s 24-hour volume
  • They entered at 50¢, meaning the group sees Nuggets -18.5 as closer to a coin flip or worse

$4,213 on Jazz | Wallet win rate: 36%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 40310252, $107,888 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xce75...c5f6 Outcome 40310252, $102,000 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x6f3e...c7b9 Outcome 40310252, $97,741 (87% win rate)
  4. 0xbe19...eeb9 Outcome 40310252, $87,372 (67% win rate)
  5. 0xb6ae...4df8 Outcome 40310252, $71,741 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x65ad...0f2c Outcome 40310252, $62,783 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x7ecf...4ed7 Outcome 40310252, $18,058
  8. 0x6f1f...5192 Outcome 40310252, $17,950 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x06e9...d05a Outcome 40310252, $17,529 (84% win rate)
  10. 0x56e8...5ee9 Outcome 40310252, $17,340 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

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Covers 5 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

ResolvedJazz vs. Nuggets$196,469 tracked6 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
UTA
21-53
Ball Arena
DEN
47-28
Draft Kings
Spread: DEN -19.5O/U: 247.5ML: +1100/-2100
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

44d ago

$5,048 on Jazz at 75¢

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

44d ago

$3,511 on Nuggets at 62¢

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

45d ago

$4,432 on Jazz at 50¢

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

45d ago

$174,948 on Nuggets at 50¢

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

45d ago

$4,317 on Jazz at 50¢

Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)

45d ago

$4,213 on Jazz at 50¢

Related Theses