Part of: Oregon vs. USC
Spread: Oregon (-3.5)
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "USC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,519.
Categories: Sports, CFB (All), Games, CFB
Notable Trades
Two-sided spread hedge at 94¢
The wallet bought both sides of the same spread at prices totaling 94¢, creating a near-arbitrage payoff on the new trades despite no clear directional thesis.
- The two buys cost about $5,065 and would pay at least roughly $5,274 whichever side wins, before fees and execution effects.
- The wallet has a large position history and is adding to its existing USC holding, but its 55% record does not show a clear edge over its average winning odds.
- This is a paired position, not a standalone USC call; copying only one leg would lose the hedge.
$7,201 on USC | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable bettor scaling into USC
A highly profitable, extremely active bettor added $5,058 to an existing USC position and has roughly $145,000 positioned across seven markets in the same event.
- This bettor is up $4.5M across more than 49,000 resolved trades and is adding to USC.
- They have about $145,000 positioned across seven markets tied to this event, including a $42,869 existing USC position.
- The $5,058 buy was at 50¢; USC is now around 42¢, so the market has moved against that entry.
$5,058 on USC | Wallet win rate: 55%
29–0 bettor adding to Oregon
A highly profitable bettor with 29 wins from 29 resolved positions is adding to Oregon, alongside a sharp volume surge.
- This bettor is 29–0 on resolved positions and has made $80,341 profit.
- They are adding to an existing Oregon position as market volume spikes to 10.9× its historical average.
- The new buy was at 52¢, with the market currently near 50¢.
$1,043 on Oregon | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven bettor adding to Oregon
A highly profitable bettor with a substantial track record is adding to an Oregon position amid a sharp event-volume spike.
- This bettor has won 69% of 707 resolved bets and is up $262,668.
- They added $1,076 to an existing Oregon position as event volume spiked to 10.9 times its historical average.
- The wallet has traded across 87 events, with a 69% win rate.
$1,076 on Oregon | Wallet win rate: 70%
29–0 bettor adding to Oregon
A highly profitable bettor with 29 wins from 29 resolved positions is adding to Oregon, alongside a sharp volume surge.
- This bettor is 29–0 on resolved positions and has made $80,341 profit.
- They are adding to an existing Oregon position as market volume spikes to 10.9× its historical average.
- The new buy was at 52¢, with the market currently near 50¢.
$1,130 on Oregon | Wallet win rate: 100%
Two-sided spread hedge at 94¢
The wallet bought both sides of the same spread at prices totaling 94¢, creating a near-arbitrage payoff on the new trades despite no clear directional thesis.
- The two buys cost about $5,065 and would pay at least roughly $5,274 whichever side wins, before fees and execution effects.
- The wallet has a large position history and is adding to its existing USC holding, but its 55% record does not show a clear edge over its average winning odds.
- This is a paired position, not a standalone USC call; copying only one leg would lose the hedge.
$5,065 on USC | Wallet win rate: 55%
Three-wallet USC buying cluster
Three-wallet USC buying totaling $53,009 coincides with a 28x pre-event volume spike, although the focal trader's record does not establish a clear odds-adjusted edge.
- Three wallets are betting the same way on USC, with $53,009 in combined wagers.
- Market activity is running 28 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong interest.
- The focal bettor has a large lifetime profit, but its 55% win rate does not clearly beat its average winning price.
$8,065 on USC | Wallet win rate: 55%
Four-wallet Oregon buying; proven sharp included
Four wallets bought $56.7K of Oregon amid a 71.8x volume spike, including a bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive returns.
- Four wallets committed $56,694 to Oregon at 51–52¢, with market volume running 71.8 times its historical average.
- One of the buyers has won 94% of 121 resolved positions and is up about $8.1M overall.
- The main entry was 51¢, with Oregon odds rising 4% over the past day.
$56,694 on Oregon
Proven bettor adding to USC
A proven bettor with an 83% win rate is adding to a USC position amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 83% of 191 resolved trades and is up $232,801.
- They added $5,000 to an existing USC position at 50¢ as market activity spiked 71.8× its historical average.
$5,000 on USC | Wallet win rate: 84%
Three-wallet USC buying; one proven sharp
Three wallets bought USC for $8,205 during a 53x volume spike, including a proven bettor with an 83% win rate and $232,801 profit.
- Three wallets put $8,205 on USC, including one bettor with an 83% win rate and $232,801 in profit.
- Trading volume spiked to 53 times its historical average as the group bought USC around 49–50¢.
- The proven bettor is adding to an existing USC position; the other wallets also held USC before these trades.
$8,205 on USC
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