Part of: Paraguay vs. Australia - More Markets
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,870.
Categories: Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports
Notable Trades
3-wallet pre-game cluster
Coordinated pre-game buying from 3 wallets put $36K on Australia, backed by a major volume spike and one profitable serial sports bettor.
- Three wallets bought $36K of Australia just before kickoff, all on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 223x versus baseline, with the flow backing Australia at 86–87¢.
- One participating bettor has won 73% of 756 resolved bets and is up $4.9K.
$36,474 on Australia
92% winner backs Australia
Elite sports bettor with a 92% win rate and +$175k P&L bought Australia on the spread, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $175k lifetime.
- They have a long serial sports record across 96 events and 107 markets.
- Entry at 87¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite position, with room only up to 95¢.
$2,795 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 92%
95% winner backing favorite
Sharp wallet with a 95% record and +$24.5k P&L is buying Australia at 87¢ despite only a single moderate-sized trade.
- This bettor has won 76 of 80 resolved trades and is up $24.5k lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 55¢, so a buy at 87¢ reflects strong confidence rather than long-shot chasing.
- Australia only needs Paraguay not to win by 2+ goals, and the market is liquid with a tight 2¢ spread.
$1,149 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 95%
90% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp 90% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit is adding $4.45k to Australia on a relatively quiet World Cup spread market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $93k lifetime.
- They have traded 42 related sports events with the same 90% hit rate.
- The $4.45k buy is large for this market, roughly most of the past day’s volume.
$4,451 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xb225...3d54 — Outcome 80148652, $54,487 (83% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 80148652, $14,160 (100% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 80148652, $8,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x477f...6c45 — Outcome 80148652, $2,500 (52% win rate)
- 0x8f66...849b — Outcome 80148652, $2,253
- 0x47c1...825f — Outcome 80148652, $1,600 (64% win rate)
- 0x228b...af4c — Outcome 80148652, $1,284
- 0x19da...53fc — Outcome 80148652, $1,115 (81% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 80148652, $951
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 80148652, $845 (70% win rate)
Related Theses
IR Iran beats New Zealand
Covers 2 related markets
Al Fayha keeps it close
Covers 1 related market
