Part of: Paraguay vs. Australia - More Markets

Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,870.

Categories: Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports

Notable Trades

3-wallet pre-game cluster

Coordinated pre-game buying from 3 wallets put $36K on Australia, backed by a major volume spike and one profitable serial sports bettor.

  • Three wallets bought $36K of Australia just before kickoff, all on the same side.
  • Market volume spiked 223x versus baseline, with the flow backing Australia at 86–87¢.
  • One participating bettor has won 73% of 756 resolved bets and is up $4.9K.

$36,474 on Australia

92% winner backs Australia

Elite sports bettor with a 92% win rate and +$175k P&L bought Australia on the spread, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $175k lifetime.
  • They have a long serial sports record across 96 events and 107 markets.
  • Entry at 87¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite position, with room only up to 95¢.

$2,795 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 92%

95% winner backing favorite

Sharp wallet with a 95% record and +$24.5k P&L is buying Australia at 87¢ despite only a single moderate-sized trade.

  • This bettor has won 76 of 80 resolved trades and is up $24.5k lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 55¢, so a buy at 87¢ reflects strong confidence rather than long-shot chasing.
  • Australia only needs Paraguay not to win by 2+ goals, and the market is liquid with a tight 2¢ spread.

$1,149 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 95%

90% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp 90% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit is adding $4.45k to Australia on a relatively quiet World Cup spread market.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $93k lifetime.
  • They have traded 42 related sports events with the same 90% hit rate.
  • The $4.45k buy is large for this market, roughly most of the past day’s volume.

$4,451 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb225...3d54 Outcome 80148652, $54,487 (83% win rate)
  2. 0xc430...1ebf Outcome 80148652, $14,160 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x224f...514a Outcome 80148652, $8,000 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x477f...6c45 Outcome 80148652, $2,500 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x8f66...849b Outcome 80148652, $2,253
  6. 0x47c1...825f Outcome 80148652, $1,600 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x228b...af4c Outcome 80148652, $1,284
  8. 0x19da...53fc Outcome 80148652, $1,115 (81% win rate)
  9. 0xc7d0...1f8a Outcome 80148652, $951
  10. 0x1d60...453d Outcome 80148652, $845 (70% win rate)

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Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

ResolvedParaguay vs. Australia - More Markets$44,870 tracked4 signalsGamesSoccerFIFA World CupSports

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paraguay" if Paraguay win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Australia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Australia
89¢
84¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

6d ago

$36,474 on Australia at 86¢

Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

6d ago

$2,795 on Australia at 87¢

Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

7d ago

$1,149 on Australia at 87¢

Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

7d ago

$4,451 on Australia at 87¢

Related Theses