Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
This Polymarket spread market asks whether Paris Saint-Germain will beat Olympique Lyonnais by 2 or more goals in their Ligue 1 match on April 19. The market resolves to PSG if they win by at least two; otherwise it resolves to Lyon, including if PSG win by exactly one, draw, or lose. The match is scheduled for 2:45 PM ET, and the market resolves from the official final score once the game is completed.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for April 19 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if Paris Saint-Germain FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligue1.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,964.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1
Notable Trades
91% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly proven sports trader with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit is taking the contrarian side on this spread market at 47¢, making it a copy-worthy sharp bet despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $856k lifetime across 431 bets
- They trade heavily across sports markets, with 576 events and more than $2.2M deployed
- Bought Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢, a contrarian entry against a market pricing PSG -1.5 at 54%
$1,280 on Olympique Lyonnais | Wallet win rate: 91%
87% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong edge made a fresh $5.2k buy on Lyon +1.5 at 47¢, which is notable even in a fairly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up $14.6k overall
- They bought Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢, implying they think PSG winning by 2+ is overpriced
- The bet is meaningful size at $5.2k and came from a wallet with 47 resolved positions
$5,219 on Olympique Lyonnais | Wallet win rate: 87%
91% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp bettor with a 91% win rate and $855k profit is taking Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest stake size.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $855k across 431 resolved bets
- They have placed over $2.2M across 576 events, so this is a proven repeat winner rather than a one-off hot streak
- Bought Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢, a price that pays if PSG fail to win by 2 or more goals
$1,280 on Olympique Lyonnais | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven sports trader with a 91% win rate and $855k profit is taking the underdog side in this PSG spread market at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $856k across 431 settled positions
- They trade heavily across related markets — 681 markets in 576 events — which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢, a contrarian entry against a slight PSG spread favorite
$1,280 on Olympique Lyonnais | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable new wallet fades PSG
A 19-day-old wallet with strong early results and repeated large bets is taking a fresh $3.1k position on Lyon +1.5 at 47¢, suggesting conviction despite the market favoring PSG.
- This 19-day-old wallet is already up $19.7k and has won 8 of 9 resolved bets
- It made three buys in quick succession for $3.1k total at 47¢, showing deliberate sizing into one side
- Buying Lyon at 47¢ means backing PSG not to win by 2+ goals at close to even odds
$3,110 on Olympique Lyonnais | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp 3-wallet sports cluster
Three wallets — including two with exceptional long-term records and one profitable new wallet — clustered nearly $8.9k on Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢, a strong coordinated signal in a major sports market.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 91% and 95% of their resolved trades, with $856k and $374k in profit.
- All 3 wallets bought Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢ for a combined $8.9k, showing coordinated conviction on the same side.
- One wallet is only 19 days old but is already up $19.7k and has been repeatedly flagged for large bets.
$8,881 on Olympique Lyonnais
97% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 97% win rate is taking the underdog side in a spread market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 97% of their trades and is up $55.5k across 154 resolved positions
- They bought Olympique Lyonnais at 47¢ in this spread market, betting PSG will not win by 2+ goals
- This wallet has made 34 bets across 31 related events with the same elite hit rate
$1,914 on Olympique Lyonnais | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x4d30...a42d — Paris Saint-Germain FC, $44,993 (88% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Paris Saint-Germain FC, $29,170 (56% win rate)
- 0xd586...7c9b — Olympique Lyonnais, $11,114 (100% win rate)
- 0x4912...b76f — Olympique Lyonnais, $11,104 (87% win rate)
- 0x5af4...183c — Olympique Lyonnais, $11,076 (89% win rate)
- 0x351e...de8a — Olympique Lyonnais, $8,287 (91% win rate)
- 0xb2fe...7558 — Olympique Lyonnais, $8,145 (97% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Olympique Lyonnais, $7,873 (61% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Olympique Lyonnais, $6,834
- 0x5c74...4ef0 — Olympique Lyonnais, $2,374 (95% win rate)
