Part of: Raiders vs. Patriots

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and Patriots, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raiders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,143.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Proven bettor exits collapsing Raiders

A highly profitable bettor sold Raiders as their price collapsed, supporting a Patriots position despite the trade potentially being a loss-cutting exit.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 1,082 resolved bets and earned $3.54M overall.
  • They sold Raiders at 18¢ after the outcome fell sharply from its historical range; the equivalent binary position is Patriots at 82¢.

$2,395 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial bettor backs Raiders

A highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate and $3.55M lifetime profit is backing Raiders at 52¢.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 1,082 resolved bets and is up $3.55M.
  • They have traded across 1,272 events, bringing a substantial track record to this Raiders position.
  • The Raiders were bought at 52¢; the market is near even with a 5¢ bid-ask spread.

$2,748 on Raiders | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c — Raiders, $13,304 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xa38a...821d — Raiders, $5,777 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x21f3...35e3 — Raiders, $2,350 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x8532...738b — Raiders, $1,400 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xc291...5d74 — Raiders, $740 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x58e8...ff0f — Raiders, $398
  7. 0x228b...af4c — Raiders, $250
  8. 0xead9...cc72 — Raiders, $189
  9. 0x82fb...0b6e — Raiders, $131
  10. 0x6bc7...c4a9 — Raiders, $105 (77% win rate)

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Botic van de Zandschulp wins

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Alex Barrena beats Olivieri

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Eryn Cayetano defeats Berta Passola

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Diana Shnaider beats Muchova

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Matteo Martineau beats Etienne Donnet

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Guardians will beat the Rays

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Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

Raiders vs. Patriots$5,143 tracked2 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Patriots
100¢
Raiders
0¢

In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and Patriots, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raiders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

2026-10-11 18:40 UTC

$2,395 on Patriots at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

2026-10-11 17:45 UTC

$2,748 on Raiders at 52¢

Related Theses