Part of: Patriots vs. Dolphins
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)
In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Dolphins, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,570.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Eight-market NFL position
A sharp price breakout and positioning across eight related markets make this worth tracking, though the wallet's 50% win rate and entry above the current price weaken the copy case.
- Patriots odds surged from the 38–46% historical range to 78%, with a 32-point rise over the past day.
- The wallet has traded across eight markets tied to this game and is up $418K overall, but its 50% win rate is not clear evidence of an edge.
- The trade was made at 86¢, above the current 78¢ odds.
$1,247 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 50%
94% winner backing Dolphins
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is making a substantial Dolphins spread bet and has positioned across four markets in the same event.
- This bettor has won 106 of 113 resolved positions and is up $2.55M lifetime.
- They placed $10,800 on the Dolphins at 54¢ and have traded four markets tied to this game.
- The wallet has a 94% win rate across 59 events, making this more than a one-off bet.
$11,000 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 94%
Perfect-record bettor adding to Dolphins
A proven 48-for-48 bettor with substantial lifetime profit is adding to a Dolphins position at 54¢.
- This bettor has won all 48 resolved positions and is up $27,498.
- They added $2,000 to an existing Dolphins position at 54¢, while the market is near 55¢.
- The wallet has also made directional bets across 27 events, with a reported 100% win rate.
$2,000 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 100%
94% winner backing Dolphins
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is making a substantial Dolphins spread bet and has positioned across four markets in the same event.
- This bettor has won 106 of 113 resolved positions and is up $2.55M lifetime.
- They placed $10,800 on the Dolphins at 54¢ and have traded four markets tied to this game.
- The wallet has a 94% win rate across 59 events, making this more than a one-off bet.
$10,800 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner building an event position
A highly profitable bettor with 94% wins and over $2.5M in profit is making a large Dolphins bet as part of a broader position across four markets in the event.
- This bettor has won 106 of 113 resolved positions and made over $2.5M in profit.
- They put $10,800 on Dolphins at 54¢ and have $43,993 across four markets in this event.
$20,200 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven 98% bettor backs Dolphins
A highly profitable bettor with 327 wins in 333 resolved positions and extensive cross-market activity bought Dolphins at 54%.
- This bettor has won 327 of 333 resolved positions and earned about $706,000.
- They have traded across 297 events, with an average winning entry price of 53%.
- They bought Dolphins at 54%, close to the current market price.
$1,080 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 98%
92% winner backs Dolphins
A highly profitable bettor with 5,482 resolved positions and a 92% win rate is buying Dolphins at 55¢.
- This bettor has won 92% of 5,482 resolved positions and is up $3.65M.
- They are buying Dolphins at 55¢, despite the market currently pricing them at 56%.
- The wallet has traded across 473 events, showing an extensive record beyond this single market.
$1,313 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 92%
Proven sharp adding to Dolphins
A highly profitable bettor with 987 resolved trades is adding to a Dolphins position, supported by a strong long-term record and serial cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 81% of 987 resolved trades and is up nearly $297,000.
- They added $1,844 to an existing Dolphins position at 55¢.
- The market has only about $4,000 in 24-hour volume, so this is a meaningful wager in a quieter market.
$1,844 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 82%
Proven bettor adding to Dolphins
A highly profitable serial bettor with 79% wins is adding to an existing Dolphins position at 53¢.
- This bettor has won 104 of 132 resolved positions and is up $183,848.
- They added $2,086 to an existing Dolphins position at 53¢, with 68 events traded across 75 markets.
$2,086 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xd106...c79c — Patriots, $16,359 (56% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Patriots, $10,870 (87% win rate)
- 0xc466...b5cf — Patriots, $10,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x68df...4815 — Patriots, $5,936 (68% win rate)
- 0x958b...f826 — Patriots, $5,734 (74% win rate)
- 0xddb9...edcd — Patriots, $5,734 (77% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Patriots, $4,949 (70% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Patriots, $4,385 (63% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Patriots, $3,425 (47% win rate)
- 0xe401...7b88 — Patriots, $1,510 (71% win rate)
Related Theses
Kings beat Clippers, cover spreads
Covers 3 related markets
Commanders win by fewer than 10
Covers 5 related markets
Dolphins cover in a low-scoring game
Covers 4 related markets
Mets beat the Marlins
Covers 1 related market
