Part of: Pelicans vs. Kings

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $154,976.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

90% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 90% win rate and $430k profit bought Kings spread at 50¢, and the market has already moved to 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and is up about $430k across 1,845 bets
  • They trade heavily across related markets and events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Kings at 50¢ and the market is now 60¢, showing immediate validation of the entry

$1,061 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 93%

73% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong 73% win rate bought Pelicans after a fast price jump, making this a credible momentum-follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $174k across nearly $2.37M invested
  • They have traded 477 markets across 451 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Pelicans at 68¢ as the price was already moving up fast, showing conviction behind the move

$1,981 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 49%

Repeat new whale on Kings

A very new wallet with heavy repeat activity just put $47k into Kings against the spread around 45-48¢ during a huge pregame volume spike, signaling strong fresh conviction.

  • A 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 41 times and just put $47k into Kings in four quick buys.
  • They bought at 45-48¢, implying they saw value before the market moved down to 42¢.
  • The bet landed during a 504x pregame volume spike, showing unusually aggressive action for this market.

$47,425 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 87%

3 sharp wallets pile in

Three profitable high-volume sports bettors piled into Pelicans -5.5 within minutes during a huge pregame volume surge, and the market has already moved from 54-57¢ to 61¢.

  • Three experienced bettors all bought Pelicans -5.5 within 9 minutes, totaling $6.1k.
  • All three wallets are profitable overall, including one up $866.8k and another winning 73% of resolved bets.
  • They entered at 54-57¢ and the market is already up to 61¢ during a 504x pregame volume spike.

$6,137 on Pelicans

New whale piling into Kings

A very new wallet with heavy repeat activity just deployed $77k into Kings across 7 buys during a massive pre-game volume spike, showing strong fresh conviction despite limited track record.

  • A wallet less than 2 days old has already triggered 34 large-bet alerts and just put $76.9k into Kings in 7 rapid buys
  • These buys came during a 548x surge in market volume, suggesting this bettor is pressing a strong pre-game view
  • The position was built around 45-50¢, so the bettor is treating Kings as roughly a coin-flip or better despite Pelicans being favored

$76,961 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial timer

A highly profitable serial timer placed a late live-sports bet 4 minutes before resolution, a pattern that has generated very large lifetime profits despite only average raw win rate.

  • This wallet is up $866.8k on $27.3M traded and repeatedly bets right before games resolve
  • They made 28 near-resolution bets across 20 markets, suggesting an edge in late live pricing
  • They bought Kings at 45¢ with only 4.2 minutes left, implying they saw the spread as mispriced late

$1,053 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 50%

3-wallet Kings surge

Three wallets piled more than $20k into Kings at 50¢ on a spread market, driving nearly all of the day’s volume alongside a major pre-game volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought $20.4k of Kings at 50¢, accounting for 96% of this market’s 24h volume.
  • Market activity jumped 68x versus its recent baseline, pointing to a sudden shared view before tipoff.
  • One wallet is up $840k lifetime across 2,000+ resolved bets, adding some credibility to the flow.

$20,358 on Kings

Top Holders

  1. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 48772280, $48,630 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xb915...8da5 Outcome 48772280, $5,498 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x33e9...39b0 Outcome 48772280, $2,161
  4. 0x0176...910e Outcome 48772280, $1,378 (86% win rate)
  5. 0xea48...c596 Outcome 48772280, $1,017
  6. 0x22d2...82d7 Outcome 48772280, $1,000
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 48772280, $599 (72% win rate)
  8. 0xedf7...8f79 Outcome 48772280, $393
  9. 0x068c...582e Outcome 48772280, $220
  10. 0x1f6d...3070 Outcome 48772280, $215

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

ResolvedPelicans vs. Kings$154,976 tracked7 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 3 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pelicans" if the Pelicans win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

NOP
25-53
Golden 1 Center
SAC
21-57
Draft Kings
Spread: NO -6.5O/U: 232.5ML: -245/+200
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

46d ago

$1,061 on Kings at 50¢

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

46d ago

$1,981 on Pelicans at 68¢

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

46d ago

$47,425 on Kings at 46¢

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

46d ago

$6,137 on Pelicans at 55¢

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

46d ago

$76,961 on Kings at 47¢

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

46d ago

$1,053 on Kings at 45¢

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

46d ago

$20,358 on Kings at 50¢

Related Theses