Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 22 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,790.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable last-minute sports bettor

Profitable serial last-minute sports bettor put $56k on Cleveland +1.5 just minutes before resolution, alongside a major volume spike on a normally smaller market.

  • This bettor is up $2.87M lifetime and has traded $33.5M across resolved markets.
  • They placed $56k on Cleveland just 2–4 minutes before resolution, matching a recurring last-minute betting pattern.
  • The bet was nearly 5x the market’s 24h volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction.

$56,050 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 57%

Perfect bettor late exit

A perfect-record sports bettor exited Cleveland 2.4 minutes before resolution, effectively pointing to Philadelphia at 42¢ despite the trade being a position close.

  • This bettor has won 24 of 24 resolved positions and is up $8.1K lifetime.
  • The trade came just 2.4 minutes before resolution, when live sports information is most valuable.
  • Selling Cleveland at 58¢ is equivalent to buying Philadelphia at 42¢, though it appears to close a prior Cleveland position.

$1,740 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc807...c12b Cleveland Guardians, $95,000 (57% win rate)
  2. 0xbddf...c684 Philadelphia Phillies, $91,184 (93% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Cleveland Guardians, $8,662 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 Philadelphia Phillies, $7,113 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x5268...135d Cleveland Guardians, $3,037 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x9703...69c2 Philadelphia Phillies, $2,203
  7. 0x2005...75ea Philadelphia Phillies, $2,179 (56% win rate)
  8. 0xadfb...c2ef Cleveland Guardians, $1,598
  9. 0x84cf...2f63 Philadelphia Phillies, $1,253 (51% win rate)
  10. 0xd81f...6b75 Philadelphia Phillies, $973 (47% win rate)

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Nationals beat the Braves

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Braves beat Cubs today

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Mets beat the Yankees

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Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

ResolvedCleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies$57,790 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Philadelphia Phillies
0¢
Cleveland Guardians
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 22 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CLE
1
31-22
Final
PHI
0
25-26
CLE +153PHI -186O/U 6.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Attendance
38,092
Price History — “Cleveland Guardians
102¢
78¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

2h ago

$56,050 on Cleveland Guardians at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

2h ago

$1,740 on Philadelphia Phillies at 42¢

42¢0¢42¢

Related Theses