Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,910.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor bought Phillies early

A highly active, profitable bettor with a 69% win rate bought the Phillies at 67%, creating substantial value before the market moved to 96%.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 400 resolved trades and is up $416,554 lifetime.
  • They bought Philadelphia at 67¢, while the market now prices it near 96¢.
  • The trade came from a serial cross-market participant active across 456 events and nearly $3.3 million in volume.

$5,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 69%

Three-wallet Phillies cluster

Three wallets committed $16.2K to Phillies -1.5 during an 85.8x volume spike, led by a highly profitable bettor, making this a notable coordinated sports position despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets bought $16,167 of Phillies -1.5, including an $11,709 position.
  • The trades arrived during an 85.8x surge versus the normal 24-hour volume.
  • The largest bettor is up nearly $29.0M lifetime, though the other wallets have mixed records.

$16,167 on Philadelphia Phillies

91% winner adds to Miami position

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and $102,725 profit is adding to an existing Miami Marlins position at 52 cents.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 963 resolved positions and is up $102,725.
  • The trade adds $1,200 to an existing Miami Marlins position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The bettor has traded across 25 events and 28 markets, showing a repeatable cross-market process.

$1,200 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 92%

Three-wallet Miami concentration

Three wallets concentrated $14.5K on Miami at 51¢ during a 146x volume spike, led by a profitable 63% winner and supported by serial cross-market activity.

  • Three wallets bought Miami for $14,544, representing 59% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The buying arrived during a 146x volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated pregame conviction.
  • One participant wins 63% of 157 resolved bets and is up $113,785, while two others are adding to existing Miami positions.

$14,544 on Miami Marlins

Top Holders

  1. 0xaa77...15a5 Outcome 89151534, $7,504 (69% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 89151534, $6,938 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 89151534, $4,675 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 89151534, $4,000 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x1a2f...647a Outcome 89151534, $1,650 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x55a6...eeb0 Outcome 89151534, $1,354 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 89151534, $1,008 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x4483...c565 Outcome 89151534, $602 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xdc41...dd7e Outcome 89151534, $320 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x4934...5951 Outcome 89151534, $200

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Yankees–White Sox game stays low-scoring

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Joao Fonseca will beat Tsitsipas

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Cubs win in a high-scoring game

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Independiente Santa Fe will win

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Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

ResolvedPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$36,910 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 29 at 12:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
6
57-52
Final
MIA
8
55-54
PHI -180MIA +148O/U 7
Venue
loanDepot park, Miami
Attendance
14,350

Notable Trades

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

10d ago

$5,000 on Philadelphia Phillies at 67¢

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

10d ago

$16,167 on Philadelphia Phillies at 49¢

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

10d ago

$1,200 on Miami Marlins at 52¢

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

10d ago

$14,544 on Miami Marlins at 51¢

Related Theses