Part of: Magic vs. Pistons
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $285,412.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $2.7M lifetime profit bought Pistons spread, though the position has moved against their 65¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,061 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry was 65¢, but the market is now 46¢, meaning the position can currently be copied cheaper than their fill.
$1,910 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 67%
74% win-rate sports sharp
A profitable high-volume sports trader with a 74% resolved win rate bought Pistons spread, though the position is modest and the market has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 74% of 292 resolved trades and is up $225k lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader with $6.6M in tracked activity across 563 events.
- Their 69¢ Pistons entry has moved to 50¢, so the market is now offering a much cheaper follow price.
$1,500 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 53%
71% winner bought early
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 71% historical win rate bought Magic +10.5 at 30¢ before the market moved to 42¢.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- They bought Magic at 30¢ before the market moved to 42¢, a 12-point move in their favor.
- This is a smaller bet in a liquid NBA market, so it is most useful as a sharp-trader signal rather than a whale conviction bet.
$1,401 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 67%
15-wallet last-minute spread push
High-conviction late NBA spread bet with 15 wallets buying the same side, a new repeat whale, and immediate price move from 50¢ to 70¢.
- 15 wallets bought the same side for $60.6k, with some linked funding behind the flow.
- This wallet bought at 50¢ less than a minute before resolution, and the market quickly moved to 70¢.
- The 2-day-old wallet has 3 flagged large bets and is already up $5.6k on 2 resolved trades.
$1,000 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 86%
89% winner joins Pistons cluster
Highly profitable 89% win-rate sports bettor bought Pistons at 50¢ alongside a 15-wallet one-sided cluster that has already pushed the market to 70¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.37M lifetime.
- 15 wallets bought the same Pistons side for $60.6K total, with some linked funding.
- They entered at 50¢ before the price moved to 70¢, signaling strong early conviction.
$1,296 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 90%
$264K sharp cluster backs Pistons
High-conviction one-sided NBA spread flow: 7 wallets bought $264K of Pistons, led by a $3.2M-profit whale and joined by multiple strong sports traders into a major pre-event volume spike.
- Seven wallets bought $264K of Pistons, a large one-sided push into a 50/50 spread market.
- The biggest buyer is up $3.2M lifetime, and another wallet on the same side is 16-0 with $33K profit.
- Market volume spiked 163x versus normal, with most of the money landing on Pistons around 50–52¢.
$263,713 on Pistons
68% bettor joins Magic cluster
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 68% resolved win rate bought Magic while broader one-sided flow and a 40x volume spike point the same way.
- This bettor has won 68% of 584 resolved bets and is up $22K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side, putting $11.4K behind Magic against the spread.
- Market volume is running 40x above normal before tipoff, suggesting coordinated attention on this line.
$1,250 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 68%
New sharp NBA bettor
A 4-day-old wallet with repeated flagged bets and strong early profits is buying Magic +10.5 at 52¢, suggesting a potentially sharp NBA spread position despite the market being liquid.
- This 4-day-old bettor is already up $6.8K with 6 wins in 7 resolved bets.
- They have been flagged 6 times and now have 8 positions, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying Magic at 52¢ means they are backing the underdog side to stay within 10.5 points.
$1,700 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 88%
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$4,800 | Wallet win rate: 94%
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$6,844
Top Holders
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 29061854, $80,365 (72% win rate)
- 0x3de4...b032 — Outcome 29061854, $34,600 (73% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Outcome 29061854, $22,500 (80% win rate)
- 0xc0c0...a6e7 — Outcome 29061854, $10,204 (0% win rate)
- 0x021c...232f — Outcome 29061854, $8,400 (99% win rate)
- 0x820c...cb55 — Outcome 29061854, $8,206 (100% win rate)
- 0x9a54...7191 — Outcome 29061854, $6,612 (81% win rate)
- 0x1ac5...cd3d — Outcome 29061854, $6,165 (100% win rate)
- 0x2e01...0875 — Outcome 29061854, $6,122 (100% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 29061854, $5,383 (53% win rate)
Related Theses
Thunder win by seven
Covers 9 related markets
Knicks edge Spurs in shootout
Covers 14 related markets
