Part of: Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $230,461.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp $187k Cavaliers cluster

A $187k one-sided Cavaliers spread buy cluster includes an elite 99% win-rate bettor and coincides with a 170x pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor who has won 99% of resolved positions and made $352k is part of this Cavaliers-side move.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $187k total, all around 50¢ before tipoff.
  • Market volume is running 170x above its historical average, suggesting unusually heavy pre-game conviction.

$186,972 on Cavaliers

86% winner backs Cavaliers

Despite the low alert score, this is a proven high-performing sports wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and $1.88M profit buying Cavaliers at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.88M lifetime.
  • They put $7.4k on Cavaliers at 50¢ in a highly liquid NBA spread market.
  • Entry at even odds implies a straightforward 2x payout if Cavaliers cover.

$7,414 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor leads Pistons cluster

A highly profitable 89% win-rate sports bettor led a $28.3k Pistons-side cluster, though there is notable opposing Cavaliers flow in the same market.

  • The largest buyer wins 89% of resolved bets and is up about $655k lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought $28.3k of Pistons, with the sharp wallet accounting for $21k at 52¢.
  • Entry around 52¢ is slightly above the current 50% market price, suggesting conviction despite a liquid order book.

$28,260 on Pistons

98% sharp on Cavaliers

Elite sports bettor with a 98% documented win rate and strong cross-market history is buying Cavaliers +3.5 at near-even odds.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $107K lifetime.
  • They have traded 105 events with a near-perfect record across 116 markets.
  • Buying Cavaliers at 49¢ implies they see value against a market pricing them near even.

$3,430 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 98%

80% sharp joins 14-wallet side

Sharp 80% win-rate sports bettor is buying Cavaliers alongside a 14-wallet one-sided flow, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $26K on $92K invested.
  • 14 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling nearly $50K in one-sided flow.
  • Entry at 49¢ is near even odds, matching a trader with a strong NBA cross-market track record.

$1,880 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 85%

14-wallet one-sided sports flow

Surface: strong 14-wallet one-sided Cavaliers flow totaling nearly $50k, plus a very new repeat large bettor entering at a near coin-flip price.

  • 14 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $49.7k in coordinated flow.
  • This 2-day-old wallet has already made 3 flagged large bets worth about $5k total.
  • Entry at 49¢ is near even money, so the group appears to see Cavaliers as underpriced.

$2,505 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2643...39ae Outcome 10354891, $295,443 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xe3c9...4b9c Outcome 10354891, $260,000 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xa8e0...ad50 Outcome 10354891, $81,414 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 10354891, $45,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0x4852...67c4 Outcome 10354891, $26,647 (91% win rate)
  6. 0xc44f...d49f Outcome 10354891, $19,480 (75% win rate)
  7. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 10354891, $16,154 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 10354891, $14,635 (71% win rate)
  9. 0xe169...4653 Outcome 10354891, $14,625 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x1420...9daa Outcome 10354891, $14,007 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

ResolvedCavaliers vs. Pistons$230,461 tracked6 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 7 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE
52-30
Little Caesars Arena
DET
60-22
Draft Kings
Spread: DET -3.5O/U: 214.5ML: +136/-162
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

55d ago

$186,972 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

55d ago

$7,414 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

55d ago

$28,260 on Pistons at 52¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

55d ago

$3,430 on Cavaliers at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

55d ago

$1,880 on Cavaliers at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

55d ago

$2,505 on Cavaliers at 49¢

Related Theses