Part of: Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $277,291.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Coordinated Cavaliers buy wave

Strong coordinated Cavaliers buying drove a rapid price move, backed by a profitable serial cross-market wallet and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • 9 wallets bought Cavaliers the same way, totaling $39.6K in one-sided flow.
  • The price jumped 26 points in under 5 minutes, with volume running 17.9x above normal.
  • This wallet is a serial sports trader with 120 resolved bets and $26.7K lifetime profit.

$4,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 64%

Perfect-record sports sharp

Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a perfect 85-for-85 resolved record and large lifetime profit buying Cavaliers against the current market move.

  • This bettor has won 85 of 85 resolved positions and is up $237K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events with a perfect tracked record.
  • They bought Cavaliers at 53¢, and the market has moved to 45¢, offering a better entry than the sharp paid.

$1,090 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 96%

Perfect-record late Pistons cluster

Strong Pistons cluster led by a perfect-record serial timer buying minutes before resolution, with $32.7k one-sided flow and cross-market timing history.

  • A bettor with a 28-for-28 resolved record and $200,857 profit joined this Pistons side.
  • Four wallets pushed $32,686 the same way just minutes before resolution.
  • The sharpest wallet has a repeat pattern of last-minute bets across 53 markets.

$32,686 on Pistons

Profitable wallets on Pistons

Three experienced, profitable wallets are leaning Pistons at 48¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike, though the trade size is modest for this very liquid NBA market.

  • Three experienced bettors are aligned on Pistons, with over $4.6K in same-direction flow at 48¢.
  • All three wallets are lifetime profitable, including one up $80K on about $1.0M traded.
  • This game is seeing a 27.8x pre-event volume spike, suggesting the market is heating up before tipoff.

$4,670 on Pistons

Perfect-record NBA sharp

Sharp NBA bettor with a perfect 26-0 resolved record and strong cross-market history bought Cavaliers +4.5 for $9k at 53¢.

  • This bettor is 26-for-26 on resolved positions and is up $173k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with a perfect tracked record.
  • The $9k buy on Cavaliers +4.5 is fresh conviction in a highly liquid NBA spread market.

$9,010 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 95%

New whale repeat bettor

A brand-new wallet is making a very large repeat bet, totaling $172.5k flagged, on a liquid NBA spread despite no resolved track record.

  • A 1.5-hour-old wallet bought $75,000 of Pistons -4.5 at 48¢.
  • This is already its second large flagged bet, with $172,520 total spotted.
  • The market is highly liquid, so the signal is mainly the wallet’s aggressive repeat sizing rather than proven history.

$75,000 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large positive track record is buying Cavaliers on a liquid NBA spread market.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 439 resolved bets and is up about $516k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 257 events with nearly $2M in tracked correlated volume.
  • The $5.3k buy on Cavaliers is fresh directional conviction at 53¢.

$5,300 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large profitable history bought Pistons -4.5 at 48¢, but the only formal signal is modest cross-market activity on a very liquid market.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 1,059 resolved bets, 63% wins, and about $89.7K in profit.
  • They regularly bet across markets, with 73 prior events and about $325K in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Buying Pistons at 48¢ gives a near-even entry on a highly liquid spread market.

$3,704 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable NBA sharp buying spread

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and over $1M lifetime profit bought $35.7k of Pistons -4.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
  • They put $35.7k on Pistons -4.5 at 48¢, a meaningful single-shot position.
  • Market volume is surging pre-game, with activity running 150x above its historical average.

$35,686 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports whale

A highly profitable serial sports bettor put $106K on Cavaliers +4.5 at 52¢, with a long cross-market history and $2.3M lifetime profit.

  • This bettor is up $2.3M lifetime across 447 resolved markets, despite only needing small edges to profit.
  • They placed a $106K bet on Cavaliers +4.5, a very large single position in this market.
  • The wallet has traded 288 events and $10.9M across related markets, suggesting a repeat sports edge.

$106,145 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 11246583, $203,047 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 11246583, $200,000 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 11246583, $156,011 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xc771...aae2 Outcome 11246583, $45,500
  5. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 11246583, $9,478 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xc181...6e97 Outcome 11246583, $7,717 (65% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11246583, $7,159 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x60b6...eb2b Outcome 11246583, $4,791 (41% win rate)
  9. 0x0a77...9d74 Outcome 11246583, $2,659
  10. 0xe216...7448 Outcome 11246583, $2,500 (62% win rate)

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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

ResolvedCavaliers vs. Pistons$277,291 tracked10 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 13 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

CLE
52-30
Little Caesars Arena
DET
60-22
Draft Kings
Spread: DET -4.5O/U: 210.5ML: +142/-170
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$4,000 on Cavaliers at 43¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$1,090 on Cavaliers at 53¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$32,686 on Pistons at 48¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$4,670 on Pistons at 48¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$9,010 on Cavaliers at 53¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$75,000 on Pistons at 48¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$5,300 on Cavaliers at 53¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$3,704 on Pistons at 48¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$35,686 on Pistons at 48¢

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

49d ago

$106,145 on Cavaliers at 52¢

Related Theses