Part of: Magic vs. Pistons

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,941.

Categories: Sports, Basketball, Games, NBA

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor caught huge mispricing

A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate bought Pistons -9.5 at 50¢ and the market has since surged to 95%, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite only one formal detection type firing.

  • This bettor has won 2,463 of 3,398 resolved bets and is up $6.3M lifetime
  • They bought Pistons -9.5 at 50¢, and the market is now 95¢ after a 47.5-point one-day jump
  • This wallet has traded 5 related markets in the same event with $54.8k total size, showing a broader game thesis

$1,206 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 68%

Proven sharp sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate bought Pistons -9.5 at 48¢, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor to 62%.

  • This bettor wins 71% of 3,751 resolved trades and is up $2.37M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets with $3.65M in tracked event exposure, suggesting a repeatable edge
  • Bought Pistons at 48¢ and the market is now 62¢, locking in a fast 14-point move

$4,061 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp cross-market sports bettor

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate bought Magic +9.5 across a broad same-event thesis, and the market has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 3,389 resolved trades and is up $6.3M lifetime.
  • They have bet $66.8k across 5 markets in this same game and over $8.3M across 898 events.
  • They bought Magic at 53¢ and the market is now 58¢, so the price moved their way quickly.

$2,564 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 68%

Pro cross-market sports bettor

A highly active, very profitable cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate bought Pistons -9.5 at 54¢ and the market has already moved up to 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 2,449 of 3,384 resolved trades and is up $6.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded 1,085 markets across 898 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Pistons at 54¢ and the market is now 58¢, so the entry already looks better than current price.

$1,072 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 68%

Sharp sports bettor at 50¢

A high-volume serial sports trader with 4,672 resolved bets and $17.4M profit bought Magic +9.5 at 50¢ during an unusually large pre-game volume spike, making this a credible sharp signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 4,672 resolved trades and is up $17.4M lifetime.
  • They bought Magic +9.5 at 50¢, a clean even-money entry from a trader with a long track record across 405 events.
  • This came during a 128x volume spike in the market, suggesting stronger-than-usual action before tipoff.

$3,705 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp cluster near buzzer

Three experienced sports traders piled into Magic against the spread for nearly $30k just minutes before resolution, led by wallets with strong long-term win rates and massive cross-market activity.

  • Three wallets all bought Magic within about 2 minutes of resolution for $29.5k total.
  • The biggest wallet wins 74% of resolved bets, and another has placed $78.6M across 4,672 resolved markets with a 67% hit rate.
  • They entered around 50-54¢, suggesting they saw Magic +9.5 as meaningfully underpriced late in the game.

$29,533 on Magic

94% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven sports trader with a 94% win rate and $2.3M profit just put $13.3k on Magic +9.5 amid a major pregame volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $2.3M across 252 resolved positions.
  • They also trade across 46 related markets and 38 events, which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Magic +9.5 for $13.3k at 54¢ as volume surged 351x above normal before the game.

$13,257 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable new wallet betting big

A 17-day-old wallet with early profits and a perfect 5-0 record just put $8.4k into Magic +9.5, which is notable even in a liquid NBA spread market.

  • This 17-day-old wallet is already up $7.1k and has won all 5 resolved bets so far.
  • They just put $8.4k into Magic +9.5 in three buys at 53¢, showing clear conviction rather than a small test trade.
  • Buying at 53¢ means they only need Magic to stay within 9 points, and the market is still near a coin flip.

$8,390 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 100%

86% win-rate sports sharp

A proven high-volume sports trader with an 86% win rate and $1.26M profit is taking Pistons -9.5 at 47¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.26M lifetime across $6.4M invested.
  • They have a long history of betting related markets, with 93 events and 149 markets traded profitably.
  • They bought Pistons -9.5 at 47¢, a cheap entry in a liquid market that suggests they see the spread as mispriced.

$1,147 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven sharp betting Pistons

A highly proven sports-style bettor with a 72% win rate and nearly $900k profit is taking a fresh position on Pistons -9.5 at 47¢, which is worth surfacing despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 1,191 of 1,665 resolved trades and is up about $894k lifetime.
  • They have a long track record across 51 markets in 35 events, which makes this look like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Pistons -9.5 at 47¢, a near-even price that suggests they see clear value on the favorite covering.

$1,006 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x163e...dc5b Outcome 18649530, $39,656 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 18649530, $19,236 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xb579...d7d0 Outcome 18649530, $16,660 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xf6de...95e8 Outcome 18649530, $9,783 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x92b5...fec6 Outcome 18649530, $4,566 (64% win rate)
  6. 0xa61f...7993 Outcome 18649530, $2,000 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x5ad5...37b9 Outcome 18649530, $1,910 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x6441...4e5b Outcome 18649530, $1,826 (42% win rate)
  9. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 18649530, $1,751
  10. 0xf2c7...2e93 Outcome 18649530, $1,461 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

ResolvedMagic vs. Pistons$65,941 tracked10 signalsSportsBasketballGamesNBA

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 22 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

ORL
45-37
Little Caesars Arena
DET
60-22
Draft Kings
Spread: DET -8.5O/U: 219.5ML: +275/-345
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

44d ago

$1,206 on Pistons at 50¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

44d ago

$4,061 on Pistons at 48¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$2,564 on Magic at 53¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$1,072 on Pistons at 54¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$3,705 on Magic at 50¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$29,533 on Magic at 54¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$13,257 on Magic at 54¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$8,390 on Magic at 53¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$1,147 on Pistons at 47¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

45d ago

$1,006 on Pistons at 47¢

Related Theses