Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,559.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

81% winner on Pistons spread

Proven sports bettor with an 81% win rate and $300k profit bought Pistons -9.5 before the market moved sharply in their direction.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $300,772 lifetime.
  • They have traded 744 markets across 396 events, showing a long repeatable sports betting track record.
  • They bought Pistons at 55¢ before the market moved to 66¢, matching a 20-point daily price surge.

$1,100 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active, profitable cross-market sports bettor bought Magic despite the price later moving against them, making the same side available cheaper now.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $298k lifetime.
  • They have traded 575 events with nearly $6.9M in total volume.
  • They bought Magic at 69¢, while the market now prices it around 59¢.

$2,000 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 74%

Five-wallet sharp spread cluster

Five wallets bought $20.4k of Pistons spread shares in coordinated flow, including an 82% winner up $1.45M and serial cross-market sports traders.

  • A bettor who wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M joined this Pistons-side move.
  • Five wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $20.4k, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • Market volume is 102x above its normal baseline, suggesting this is part of a broader pre-game positioning wave.

$20,422 on Pistons

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 61% resolved win rate and $184k lifetime profit is backing Magic, though the bet is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 217 resolved trades and is up $184k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 98 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
  • Entry at 54¢ implies a relatively balanced spread bet with room if their edge is real.

$2,036 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 32083237, $58,518 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 82300611, $37,926 (43% win rate)
  3. 0xddd5...ec9e Outcome 32083237, $20,000 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x4924...3782 Outcome 82300611, $18,694 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x0eb7...1f17 Outcome 32083237, $16,649 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xc0ff...9953 Outcome 32083237, $13,984 (61% win rate)
  7. 0xafe4...f3f7 Outcome 32083237, $13,000 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 82300611, $12,272 (67% win rate)
  9. 0xc96a...396a Outcome 82300611, $11,462
  10. 0x1ba1...1ce4 Outcome 32083237, $11,000 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

Resolved$25,559 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

ORL
94
3-4
Final
DET
116
4-3
Q1: 22-20Q2: 27-40Q3: 15-23Q4: 30-33
Draft Kings
Spread: DET -8.5O/U: 200.5ML: +260/-325
Win Prob
0%
Last Play
Game End
Q4 0:00 · ORL 94-116 DET

Notable Trades

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

5h ago

$1,100 on Pistons at 55¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

5h ago

$2,000 on Magic at 69¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

6h ago

$20,422 on Pistons at 46¢

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

7h ago

$2,036 on Magic at 54¢

Related Theses