Part of: Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire

Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)

This WNBA prediction market covers whether PortlandFire will beat the Phoenix Mercury by 3 or more points on June 5 at 10:00 PM ET. PolySpotter tracks the live market odds plus $6,410 in smart money activity across 2 signals, with resolution expected after the game on June 6, 2026 UTC.

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PortlandFire" if the PortlandFire win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,243.

Categories: Sports, Games, WNBA

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 66% resolved win rate and $309k lifetime profit is buying Phoenix Mercury +2.5 at 52¢.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 169 resolved bets and is up $309k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $824k bet across 110 events.
  • Entry at 52¢ suggests a modest edge on Phoenix Mercury covering +2.5.

$2,288 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor is placing a $4.1k position on Phoenix Mercury in a relatively small WNBA spread market.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 169 resolved markets and is up about $310k lifetime.
  • They have traded 110 events and $821k across correlated markets, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy.
  • The $4.1k Phoenix Mercury bet is nearly half of this market’s total volume, showing meaningful conviction.

$4,122 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 66% resolved win rate and +$309k P&L bought Phoenix Mercury on a quiet spread market.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 169 resolved bets and is up about $309k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader, with $819k tracked across 109 events.
  • The bet was placed in a quiet market with $0 24h volume, suggesting a deliberate position rather than noise.

$1,834 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9a4c...1f30 Phoenix Mercury, $11,824 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x5268...135d PortlandFire, $6,480 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x21f3...35e3 PortlandFire, $2,570 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 PortlandFire, $1,044 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xb2bf...04d7 PortlandFire, $643 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x204f...5e14 PortlandFire, $372 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xf7f0...912c PortlandFire, $240 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x35e7...8331 Phoenix Mercury, $200
  9. 0xce5e...c0fa PortlandFire, $190 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x9311...7c73 PortlandFire, $139

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Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)

11hPhoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire$8,243 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesWNBA
PortlandFire
49¢
Phoenix Mercury
52¢

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "PortlandFire" if the PortlandFire win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Phoenix Mercury
54¢
52¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)

1h ago

$2,288 on Phoenix Mercury at 52¢

52¢52¢

Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)

1h ago

$4,122 on Phoenix Mercury at 52¢

52¢52¢

Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)

1h ago

$1,834 on Phoenix Mercury at 51¢

51¢52¢1¢

Related Theses