Part of: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,008.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

93% winner caught cover

Surface because a highly profitable 93% bettor joined same-direction Portugal flow across multiple related markets, though the trade has already moved to 100% and is no longer copyable at current odds.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $32K bought Portugal at 54¢.
  • Three wallets bought the same side around 51–54¢ before the market moved to 100%.
  • The lead wallet has also traded 5 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.

$3,648 on Portugal

93% winner backing Portugal

A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought Portugal, with supporting one-sided flow and cross-market positioning despite the price currently trading below their entry.

  • This bettor has won 65 of 70 resolved bets and is up $32k lifetime.
  • They bought Portugal at 54¢ while three wallets are also betting the same direction.
  • The same sharp wallet has $10k positioned across five related markets in this event.

$1,600 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 87%

3-wallet underdog spread push

High-scoring coordinated flow into Uzbekistan, backed by profitable sports wallets and a large event-wide volume surge.

  • Three wallets bought $10.8k of Uzbekistan at 44–51¢, and the market has since moved to 60¢.
  • Two participating wallets have strong records: one is up $451.7k with a 65% hit rate, and another is up $57.5k with a 74% hit rate.
  • Volume is 19x above normal, suggesting broader money is piling into the same Portugal spread thesis.

$10,760 on Uzbekistan

Top Holders

  1. 0x4e1f...ff77 Outcome 91407682, $20,000 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x48da...0419 Outcome 91407682, $3,447 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x5d75...3d44 Outcome 91407682, $2,194 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x775d...6beb Outcome 91407682, $1,803 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x8a80...11c5 Outcome 91407682, $1,656 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x635c...45c6 Outcome 91407682, $1,449 (91% win rate)
  7. 0xcb47...3502 Outcome 91407682, $1,190 (87% win rate)
  8. 0xc0fd...6a89 Outcome 91407682, $1,111 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x750c...d430 Outcome 91407682, $1,082 (82% win rate)
  10. 0xd604...cb5f Outcome 91407682, $1,027 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

France wins on June 30

Covers 1 related market

Early goal in France-Sweden

Covers 1 related market

Mexico wins on June 30

Covers 1 related market

Portugal routs Uzbekistan early

Covers 5 related markets

Germany Paraguay avoid shootout

Covers 1 related market

England Congo match goes over

Covers 2 related markets

Belgium scores first

Covers 1 related market

Qingdao Zhejiang match becomes shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Norway scores first

Covers 1 related market

Germany wins on June 29

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

ResolvedPortugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets$16,008 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 23 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal win the game by 5 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Uzbekistan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

8d ago

$3,648 on Portugal at 52¢

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

8d ago

$1,600 on Portugal at 54¢

Spread: Portugal (-4.5)

8d ago

$10,760 on Uzbekistan at 47¢

Related Theses