Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,535.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

94% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and strong edge is taking Rockets -10.5 at 47¢, making this a copy-worthy signal despite only modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $300k on $785k invested.
  • They have a long record across 80 markets and 66 events, which makes this look like repeatable skill rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Rockets -10.5 at 47¢, a price that implies they see the spread side as better than a coin flip.

$1,388 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp live-betting cluster

Three wallets piled into Rockets -10.5 for $25k right at live resolution, including two exceptionally sharp bettors with 91% and 94% win rates and one with a strong serial last-minute betting edge.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 91% and 94% of resolved trades, with about $3.0M combined profit.
  • They bought Rockets -10.5 within about a minute of resolution, and one wallet has 13 profitable last-minute bets across 9 markets.
  • Three wallets put $25k on the same side at 46-47¢ during a 35x volume spike, signaling strong live-game conviction.

$25,096 on Rockets

Serial timer with 91% win rate

A highly profitable serial timer with a 91% win rate put $14.3k on Rockets -10.5 at 46¢ less than a minute before resolution, a strong live-betting signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $2.7M across 294 resolved positions
  • They placed $14.3k on Rockets -10.5 at 46¢ within a minute of resolution, and they repeatedly make late bets that hit
  • Entry at 46¢ suggests they saw the spread as mispriced while the market was already very active

$14,311 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable live-game timer

A profitable high-volume sports trader with nearly $288k realized P&L bought Rockets -10.5 at 46¢ just 1.4 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that may reflect a live-game edge.

  • This bettor has won 85 of 149 resolved trades and is up about $288k overall
  • They bought with 1.4 minutes left in a live NBA spread market, a spot where fast information can matter
  • Entry at 46¢ is a near-even price, suggesting they saw late-game odds mispriced in Rockets -10.5

$2,460 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 59%

95% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and massive lifetime profits is buying Timberwolves +10.5 near a coin-flip price, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 95% of 370 resolved markets and is up $21.0M lifetime
  • They trade across 85 related markets and 51 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Timberwolves at 51¢ in a near even market, implying they see clear value on the underdog spread side

$4,468 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 95%

82% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable 82% win-rate sports trader with nearly $1.9M deployed across 224 markets bought Timberwolves in a pre-game volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 326 resolved trades and is up $622k lifetime
  • They have bet nearly $1.9M across 224 markets, so this looks like a repeat sharp trader rather than a random wallet
  • They bought Timberwolves at 51¢ during a 50.6x pre-game volume spike, suggesting informed positioning before tipoff

$2,549 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 82%

New whale buying Rockets

A very active 11-day-old wallet put $11.7k into Rockets via selling Timberwolves during a major pregame volume spike, making it a notable conviction bet despite limited track record.

  • This 11-day-old wallet has already been flagged 37 times and has put over $500k to work, suggesting unusually aggressive early activity.
  • All three trades effectively buy Rockets around 48¢, a sizable $11.7k position during a 54.7x pregame volume spike.
  • The market is liquid and tight, so this looks more like a deliberate directional bet than a random thin-market punt.

$11,709 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 33%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets across many markets and just put nearly $12.8k into Rockets -10.5 via selling Timberwolves during a sharp pregame volume surge.

  • An 11-day-old wallet has already triggered 35 large-bet alerts and just put $12.8k behind Rockets -10.5.
  • All three sells of Timberwolves at 52-53¢ translate to buying Rockets around 47-48¢.
  • This hit during a 34.7x pregame volume spike, showing real money is suddenly moving into this market.

$12,794 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 33%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A very active 11-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets across markets and is making another meaningful directional NBA spread bet, suggesting a new high-volume bettor worth monitoring despite limited proven edge.

  • This 11-day-old wallet has already triggered 34 large-bet alerts totaling about $494k
  • They are putting another $3.4k into a clear side here by effectively buying Rockets -10.5 at 47¢
  • The wallet is new and active across multiple positions, but the track record is still thin with only 5 resolved bets

$3,369 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 33%

Sharp 4-wallet NBA cluster

A 4-wallet cluster piled into Timberwolves, led by an elite 95% win-rate trader with a massive cross-market track record, making this coordinated sports bet worth following.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of their trades joined this Timberwolves buy, with 370 resolved bets and about $21.0M in profit.
  • Four wallets all bought the same side within minutes, putting $9.4k behind one NBA spread view.
  • They entered around 52-54¢, and the market has already moved up to 55¢.

$9,392 on Timberwolves

Top Holders

  1. 0x1b4d...e246 Outcome 37668564, $31,111 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xe1a2...14b8 Outcome 37668564, $17,714 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xc14d...69ac Outcome 37668564, $7,733 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x6323...9fee Outcome 37668564, $5,731 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 37668564, $5,347 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x0f6e...84b4 Outcome 37668564, $2,680 (99% win rate)
  7. 0xd2e5...ebea Outcome 37668564, $2,000
  8. 0xcc1d...faff Outcome 37668564, $1,956 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x1c83...6f40 Outcome 37668564, $921 (29% win rate)
  10. 0xc991...abd4 Outcome 37668564, $725 (83% win rate)

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Covers 1 related market

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

Resolved$87,535 tracked10 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$1,388 on Rockets at 47¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$25,096 on Rockets at 46¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$14,311 on Rockets at 46¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$2,460 on Rockets at 46¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$4,468 on Timberwolves at 51¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$2,549 on Timberwolves at 51¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$11,709 on Rockets at 48¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$12,794 on Rockets at 48¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$3,369 on Rockets at 47¢

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

3d ago

$9,392 on Timberwolves at 53¢

Related Theses