Part of: Rockets vs. Lakers
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,296.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
3-wallet Lakers pile-in
Three active wallets with strong overall profitability piled nearly $39k into Lakers as a sharp pregame volume surge hit, and the market has already moved 4 points above their 56¢ entry.
- Three wallets bought nearly $39k of Lakers together, a strong one-sided signal on a major NBA market.
- Two of the wallets have strong track records, including one up $14.1M lifetime and another winning 77% of resolved bets.
- They entered at 56¢ and the market is already at 60¢, with volume running 340.8x above its usual level.
$38,671 on Lakers
Profitable new whale
A very active new wallet with early profits and an unusually large stake is building a cross-market NBA thesis by buying Rockets spread despite a liquid market and slight move against its average entry.
- This 20-day-old wallet has already put $923k into flagged trades and is up $226k.
- They bought nearly $38k of Rockets spread across 2 trades at 47-51¢, showing real conviction.
- The same wallet is betting across 3 markets in this game, pointing to a broader Rockets game script view.
$37,934 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 100%
96% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $2.0M in profit is taking a fresh $5.1k position on Rockets -5.5 at 46¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They have done this across 392 markets and 288 events, so this is not a one-off hot streak.
- Bought Rockets -5.5 at 46¢, a price that implies they see the spread as better than a coin flip.
$5,091 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 71%
96% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $2.0M in profit is buying Rockets -5.5 at 46¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They trade across 391 markets and 287 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought Rockets -5.5 at 46¢, a price that implies they see the spread as better than a coin flip.
$2,546 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 71%
90% win-rate sharp
A very high-performing serial trader with a 90% win rate is taking the Lakers side at 54¢ in this spread market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 90% of 823 resolved markets and is up $44.7M lifetime
- They trade heavily across 54 related markets and 25 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Lakers at 54¢ in a liquid market, a clear fresh position from a proven sharp wallet
$2,297 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 90%
82% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an 82% win rate and strong edge is buying Rockets spread at 48¢, making this a solid sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades with a strong edge versus the prices they pay
- They bought Rockets -5.5 at 48¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see clear value
- The market is reasonably active with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate sharp entry rather than noise
$1,757 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 10016225, $24,699 (100% win rate)
- 0x530f...8a00 — Outcome 10016225, $10,689
- 0x4912...b76f — Outcome 10016225, $6,867 (90% win rate)
- 0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 10016225, $6,209 (89% win rate)
- 0x99e4...4088 — Outcome 10016225, $4,951 (100% win rate)
- 0x6323...9fee — Outcome 10016225, $4,040 (97% win rate)
- 0xad15...ee7f — Outcome 10016225, $3,693 (61% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10016225, $2,667 (64% win rate)
- 0x0d13...92f3 — Outcome 10016225, $2,330 (88% win rate)
- 0x098e...6fa2 — Outcome 10016225, $2,135
Related Theses
Team WE beats NIP
Covers 3 related markets
