Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,845.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp sports bettor re-entering

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate bought Rockets -5.5 at 68¢ before the market moved to 78%, making this a credible sharp entry despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 2,951 of 4,167 resolved trades and is up $2.59M lifetime.
  • They bought Rockets at 68¢ and the market is already up to 78%, showing immediate follow-through.
  • This wallet trades across many related markets with a strong long-term record: 437 events and $4.0M deployed.

$1,421 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 71%

71% win-rate NBA bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought Rockets despite a sharp recent dip, making this a credible follow signal even though the ticket size is modest.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 1,139 resolved markets and is up about $88.8k overall
  • They trade heavily across related markets, with 809 bets across 639 events, which suggests a repeatable process
  • Bought Rockets around 62¢ after the market dropped fast, signaling they may view the pullback as value

$1,977 on Rockets | Wallet win rate: 71%

$1.6M event specialist

Profitable cross-market specialist with a seven-figure P&L bought Lakers spread at 44¢ across a heavily traded game event, suggesting a broader event-level thesis despite market momentum moving against them afterward.

  • This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $1.57M across 177 settled markets.
  • They traded 6 markets in this same game event and 67 markets across 50 events, showing a repeatable event-level approach.
  • They bought Lakers at 44¢ and the market is now 40¢, a lower price for anyone copying the same side.

$1,235 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 69%

4-wallet Rockets pile-in

Four wallets piled into Rockets -5.5 at 45¢ at the same moment, including two bettors with strong long-term records, and the price quickly moved to 60¢.

  • Four wallets bought Rockets -5.5 at 45¢ within seconds, and the market moved to 60¢ right after.
  • Two of the wallets have strong records: one wins 81% of 1,330 bets and another wins 83% of 52 bets.
  • One bettor is a heavy cross-market trader with 81% win rate across 732 markets, suggesting this was part of a broader game thesis.

$7,212 on Rockets

Top Holders

  1. 0xe5b7...5ee3 Rockets, $46,442 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Lakers, $34,555 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x3dfb...abaf Rockets, $25,289 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xcf60...a6f5 Lakers, $20,000 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x7634...600d Lakers, $19,749 (45% win rate)
  6. 0xd106...c79c Rockets, $18,627 (53% win rate)
  7. 0x32cc...68b3 Lakers, $17,693 (54% win rate)
  8. 0x84db...aeeb Lakers, $17,636 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x9495...9a27 Rockets, $14,683 (69% win rate)
  10. 0xc8ab...6418 Rockets, $12,765 (47% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 6 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

Resolved$11,845 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Rockets
100¢
Lakers
0¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

LAL
79
3-0
Live
Q4 6:49
HOU
100
0-3
Q1: 21-26Q2: 26-30Q3: 18-34Q4: 14-10
Draft Kings
Spread: HOU -3.5O/U: 206.5ML: +136/-162
Win Prob
0%
Poly: 100¢
Last Play
SUB in: M. Kleber
Q4 6:49 · LAL 79-100 HOU

Notable Trades

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

41m ago

$1,421 on Rockets at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

47m ago

$1,977 on Rockets at 62¢

62¢100¢38¢

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

59m ago

$1,235 on Lakers at 44¢

44¢0¢44¢

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

1h ago

$7,212 on Rockets at 45¢

45¢100¢55¢

Related Theses