Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,832.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Veteran trader backs Arizona

A highly experienced serial trader made an $8,765 fresh bet on Arizona in a temporarily thin market, though the trader's 63% win rate offers only modest evidence of an edge at this price.

  • This trader has won 22,176 of 35,194 resolved bets and is up nearly $34 million lifetime.
  • The $8,765 position represented over 14 times the detected 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Arizona.
  • Arizona was bought at 61¢, close to the 62% market price, so the trade signals confidence more than an obvious bargain.

$8,765 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 63%

Three-wallet Arizona buying cluster

Three highly active profitable wallets bought $28,067 of Arizona at 61¢ in a market with only $605 of 24-hour volume, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite mixed individual win-rate edge.

  • Three wallets bought Arizona at 61¢ for a combined $28,067—over 46 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The coordinated buying includes a serial cross-market trader with 35,194 resolved bets, a 63% win rate, and $34.0M in profits.
  • One wallet is adding to an existing Arizona position, while the other two appear to be initiating exposure in a thin market.

$28,067 on Arizona Diamondbacks

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 74964475, $13,723 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x6d3c...d294 Outcome 74964475, $6,000 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x224f...514a Outcome 74964475, $2,200 (84% win rate)
  4. 0x15e9...4b73 Outcome 74964475, $2,170
  5. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 74964475, $1,128 (64% win rate)
  6. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 74964475, $601
  7. 0x0e50...2609 Outcome 74964475, $600 (96% win rate)
  8. 0xd3e7...bf64 Outcome 74964475, $600 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x2396...9485 Outcome 74964475, $445
  10. 0x8557...6f88 Outcome 74964475, $445 (85% win rate)

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Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

ResolvedSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$36,832 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 6 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SD
5
60-56
Final
ARI
1
61-55
SD -106ARI -101O/U 9
Venue
Chase Field, Phoenix
Attendance
21,884

Notable Trades

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

2d ago

$8,765 on Arizona Diamondbacks at 61¢

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

2d ago

$28,067 on Arizona Diamondbacks at 61¢

Related Theses