Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $140,310.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate bought Padres -1.5 at 45¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $268.6k on $720.9k invested
  • They have shown the same edge across 59 events and 72 markets, so this is not a one-off bet
  • Bought Padres -1.5 at 45¢, implying they see the run-line as meaningfully underpriced

$3,319 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 94%

82% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 82% win rate and $548k profit is buying Rockies +1.5 equivalent exposure in a liquid MLB spread market during a broader event-wide betting pattern.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $548k across 290 bets.
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 204 markets over 163 events — which points to a repeatable sports betting edge.
  • They bought Colorado Rockies at 56¢ in a market with tight 1¢ spreads, showing a clean entry rather than chasing a thin book.

$1,276 on Colorado Rockies | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven sharp backing Padres

Surface this alert because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate just put $37.4k on Padres -1.5 during a major volume surge, suggesting conviction rather than routine flow.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
  • They have traded 54 markets across 49 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They just bought $37.4k at 45¢ during a 120x volume spike, a price that implies roughly 2.2x upside if they are right.

$37,373 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a solid 75% win rate just placed a concentrated $98k buy on Padres -1.5 at 45¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime
  • They have bet across 48 events and 53 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They just put $98k on Padres -1.5 at 45¢, a sizable position in a market trading around 44¢

$98,341 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 22594201, $100,000 (66% win rate)
  2. 0xc807...c12b Outcome 22594201, $70,000 (48% win rate)
  3. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 22594201, $25,573 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 22594201, $21,163 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 22594201, $2,974
  6. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 22594201, $2,834 (82% win rate)
  7. 0xc58a...b8f8 Outcome 22594201, $1,730 (77% win rate)
  8. 0xcf3b...0230 Outcome 22594201, $650 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x3761...3d9d Outcome 22594201, $637
  10. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 22594201, $577 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Resolved$140,310 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres, scheduled for April 9 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Colorado Rockies
57¢
55¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

17h ago

$3,319 on San Diego Padres at 45¢

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

17h ago

$1,276 on Colorado Rockies at 56¢

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

17h ago

$37,373 on San Diego Padres at 45¢

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

17h ago

$98,341 on San Diego Padres at 45¢

Related Theses