Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

This prediction market covers whether the San Francisco Giants will beat the Miami Marlins by 2 or more runs on April 24. The market resolves to "San Francisco Giants" only if the Giants win by at least two runs; any 1-run Giants win, Marlins win, or tie resolves to "Miami Marlins." It is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with current smart money tracking showing $1,696 across 1 signal.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for April 24 at 10:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,023.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

71% win-rate sports grinder

A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a 71% win rate made a meaningful buy on Miami Marlins in a moderately active spread market, making this worth tracking despite only a mid-range composite score.

  • This bettor has won 4,254 of 5,999 resolved trades and is up about $180k overall.
  • They have traded 92 markets across 85 events for $545k total, which suggests a repeatable sports betting process.
  • They bought Miami Marlins at 70¢, a fairly sizable $1.7k position in a market with about $14.7k of volume.

$1,696 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 71%

71% win-rate sports grinder

A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a 71% win rate put $3.5k into Miami Marlins +1.5 on a moderately thin spread market, making this a credible follow despite only a mid-range composite score.

  • This bettor has won 4,254 of 5,999 resolved trades and is up about $180k overall.
  • They regularly trade related markets across 85 events and just put $3.5k on Miami Marlins at 68-69¢.
  • The market is only about $9.8k in 24-hour volume, so this order was large relative to recent activity.

$3,494 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 71%

71% win-rate sports grinder

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought over $5.1k of Miami Marlins on the run line in a relatively thin market, making up more than half of recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 4,254 of 5,999 resolved bets and is up about $180k overall
  • They trade across 85 events and 92 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • They put $5.1k into Miami Marlins at 68-69¢ in a market where that flow was over 50% of recent volume

$5,163 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 71%

Pro sports bettor steps in

A proven high-volume bettor with a 71% win rate and nearly $180k profit made a sizable buy on the Marlins side in a relatively thin MLB spread market.

  • This bettor has won 4,254 of 5,999 resolved trades and is up about $180k lifetime
  • They've traded 90 markets across 83 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off bet
  • Their $1.7k buy was nearly half of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a thin market

$1,669 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x558f...1a56 Miami Marlins, $12,261 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x2513...91fb San Francisco Giants, $5,054
  3. 0xe401...7b88 San Francisco Giants, $2,500 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x6814...a9e7 San Francisco Giants, $1,931
  5. 0xadfb...c2ef San Francisco Giants, $677
  6. 0xebe6...9278 San Francisco Giants, $500
  7. 0xdb83...1e50 San Francisco Giants, $372
  8. 0x0cbb...f8a3 San Francisco Giants, $316 (52% win rate)
  9. 0x7d84...a7bd San Francisco Giants, $196
  10. 0x81ab...9b4b San Francisco Giants, $190

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

Resolved$12,023 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Francisco Giants
31¢
Miami Marlins
70¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for April 24 at 10:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Miami Marlins
71¢
69¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

2h ago

$1,696 on Miami Marlins at 70¢

70¢70¢

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

2h ago

$3,494 on Miami Marlins at 69¢

69¢70¢1¢

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

2h ago

$5,163 on Miami Marlins at 69¢

69¢70¢1¢

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

2h ago

$1,669 on Miami Marlins at 69¢

69¢70¢1¢

Related Theses

Giants -1.5 vs Marlins Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter