Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 26 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,415.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

92% winner scaling into Giants

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial historical edge added nearly $4,600 to the Giants spread in a very thin market before a major price jump.

  • This bettor has won 97 of 106 resolved trades, earning $120,243 while buying at an average 57% implied price.
  • They added nearly $4,600 to the Giants spread in a market with only $473 of 24-hour volume.
  • The position was built around a blended entry near 53¢, and the market has since risen to roughly 83¢.

$2,917 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% winner scaling into Giants

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial historical edge added nearly $4,600 to the Giants spread in a very thin market before a major price jump.

  • This bettor has won 97 of 106 resolved trades, earning $120,243 while buying at an average 57% implied price.
  • They added nearly $4,600 to the Giants spread in a market with only $473 of 24-hour volume.
  • The position was built around a blended entry near 53¢, and the market has since risen to roughly 83¢.

$4,598 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 93%

91% winner backs Giants early

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate made a concentrated Giants spread bet in an unusually thin market before the price surged from roughly 55¢ to 83¢.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 286 resolved trades and is up $652,000 lifetime.
  • They invested $4,900 in the Giants at a weighted average near 55¢ while the market had only $473 in 24-hour volume.
  • The position is up sharply as Giants odds moved to 83%, indicating strong early conviction in a thin market.

$4,899 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x927c...6633 — San Francisco Giants, $4,840 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x86f4...bd70 — San Francisco Giants, $3,400 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x161a...4103 — San Francisco Giants, $250 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xb6fc...b24e — San Francisco Giants, $192
  5. 0xdbdd...a5de — San Francisco Giants, $78 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x8f9b...8b23 — San Francisco Giants, $66
  7. 0x22a4...63eb — San Francisco Giants, $25 (73% win rate)
  8. 0xb0af...bfd0 — San Francisco Giants, $16
  9. 0xe134...f6da — San Francisco Giants, $15
  10. 0x29de...d9e6 — San Francisco Giants, $13 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Red Sox dominate Diamondbacks convincingly

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Cardinals will beat the Orioles

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Mets will beat the Brewers

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Athletic Club will not win

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Angels will beat the Guardians

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England fails to win

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Chun-Hsin Tseng will win

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Giants Win by Multiple Runs

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Kalieva beats McDonald

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Cubs will beat Diamondbacks

Covers 1 related market

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants$12,415 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
San Francisco Giants
0¢
Cincinnati Reds
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 26 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
10
63-71
Final
SF
9
54-79
CIN +110SF -118O/U 7Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Attendance
24,130

Notable Trades

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)

2026-08-26 21:49 UTC

$2,917 on San Francisco Giants at 53¢

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)

2026-08-26 21:41 UTC

$4,598 on San Francisco Giants at 53¢

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)

2026-08-26 21:49 UTC

$4,899 on San Francisco Giants at 55¢

Related Theses