What does San Jose Earthquakes -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

It means San Jose Earthquakes must win by at least 2 goals for the market to resolve to San Jose Earthquakes. If they win by exactly 1 goal, draw, or lose, the market resolves to Sporting Kansas City.

When does this San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City market resolve?

The market is tied to the MLS match scheduled for April 11 at 8:30 PM ET and is expected to resolve after the official final score is published, around April 12 UTC.

How is this Polymarket market settled?

Settlement is based on the official final score published for the MLS game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If it is canceled without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.

What happens if San Jose Earthquakes win by only 1 goal?

A 1-goal San Jose win does not cover the -1.5 spread. In that case, the market resolves to Sporting Kansas City.

Why are traders watching this MLS prediction market?

Searchers and traders use this market to follow live prediction market odds on whether San Jose can win comfortably enough to cover the spread. It can also reflect sentiment from sharp bettors and smart money activity ahead of kickoff.

Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)

This Polymarket tracks whether San Jose Earthquakes will cover a -1.5 goal spread against Sporting Kansas City in the April 11 MLS match. The market resolves to San Jose if they win by 2 or more goals; otherwise it resolves to Sporting Kansas City. It settles based on the official final score, with resolution expected after the match concludes on April 11-12.

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for April 11 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,487.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS

Notable Trades

82% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate put $2.3k on Sporting Kansas City in an MLS spread market, making this a credible sharp follow despite only modest size.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $622k across $2.5M invested
They trade across 194 events and 242 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
They bought Sporting Kansas City at 64¢, implying confidence San Jose will not win by 2 or more goals

$2,303 on Sporting Kansas City | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% winner in quiet market

A bettor with an 82% win rate and $622k profit made a $3.2k buy on Sporting Kansas City in a relatively quiet spread market, making this worth surfacing despite the weak raw alert score.

This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up $622k across 326 resolved bets
They put $3.2k on Sporting Kansas City at 66¢, equal to 57% of this market's 24-hour volume
The market is fairly thin for a sports spread, so a proven winner moving size here is a notable conviction signal

$3,184 on Sporting Kansas City | Wallet win rate: 82%