Part of: Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets

Spread: Scotland (-2.5)

This prediction market tracks whether Scotland will beat Haiti by 3 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 13 at 9:00 PM ET. The market resolves to Scotland if they cover the -2.5 spread, otherwise it resolves to Haiti, based on the official final score on fifa.com. PolySpotter is tracking $26,225 in smart money and 1 signal, including whale activity backing the Scotland spread.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 13 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Scotland" if Scotland win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Haiti". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,122.

Categories: Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

New whale backing Scotland spread

A 2-day-old repeat whale bought $17k of Scotland spread shares into a huge pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite limited track record.

  • A 2-day-old wallet put $17k on Scotland and has now triggered $66.6k of large-bet alerts.
  • The market saw a 300x pre-event volume spike, with Scotland moving up about 6 points in the last day.
  • The bettor is buying around 23¢, implying a roughly 4x payout if Scotland win by 3 or more.

$26,225 on Scotland | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable 4-wallet cluster

Profitable high-volume wallet is buying Haiti alongside a 4-wallet funded cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $1.48M lifetime across nearly 78,000 resolved trades.
  • Four wallets funded by the same address have put $396K into related positions.
  • Market volume spiked 300x before kickoff, with this trade backing Haiti at 80¢.

$8,897 on Haiti | Wallet win rate: 54%

New whale backing Scotland spread

A 2-day-old repeat whale bought $17k of Scotland spread shares into a huge pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite limited track record.

  • A 2-day-old wallet put $17k on Scotland and has now triggered $66.6k of large-bet alerts.
  • The market saw a 300x pre-event volume spike, with Scotland moving up about 6 points in the last day.
  • The bettor is buying around 23¢, implying a roughly 4x payout if Scotland win by 3 or more.

$17,000 on Scotland | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8dcb...6d5b Scotland, $115,479 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Haiti, $53,386 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 Haiti, $43,223 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xf68a...5b1b Haiti, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x2a69...d2f7 Haiti, $7,621
  6. 0xd218...b5c9 Haiti, $7,100 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x4df3...788f Haiti, $6,949 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xe0db...f44e Haiti, $5,747 (49% win rate)
  9. 0xdd5e...9040 Scotland, $5,097 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x19de...e917 Scotland, $4,400 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

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Spread: Scotland (-2.5)

ResolvedHaiti vs. Scotland - More Markets$52,122 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesFIFA World CupSoccer
Scotland
22¢
Haiti
79¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 13 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Scotland" if Scotland win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Haiti". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Haiti
85¢
81¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Scotland (-2.5)

1h ago

$26,225 on Scotland at 23¢

23¢22¢1¢

Spread: Scotland (-2.5)

1h ago

$8,897 on Haiti at 80¢

80¢79¢1¢

Spread: Scotland (-2.5)

1h ago

$17,000 on Scotland at 23¢

23¢22¢1¢

Related Theses