Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 13 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,858.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable sports whale buying dip

Despite only a moderate price-impact signal, this is a highly profitable high-volume sports bettor buying Mariners -1.5 after a sharp selloff at a better-than-current price.

  • This bettor is up $415K across more than $106M of resolved betting volume.
  • They bought Seattle -1.5 at 28¢ after a large price drop, and the market has already rebounded to 34¢.
  • The order book is wide, so getting in near their 28¢ entry matters.

$1,314 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Seattle -1.5, and the wallet’s $2.39M lifetime profit makes the otherwise modest signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor is up $2.39M lifetime across more than 28,000 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 1,753 related markets across 1,485 events, showing a repeatable sports-market process.
  • Entry at 54¢ suggests they see value despite the market already moving 11 points today.

$1,544 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Seattle Mariners, $5,797 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Seattle Mariners, $4,736 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Houston Astros, $4,518 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x32ed...f960 Houston Astros, $2,294 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x7760...21f0 Houston Astros, $1,808 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x4259...77c1 Houston Astros, $1,335
  7. 0x5268...135d Seattle Mariners, $1,237 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x84cf...2f63 Seattle Mariners, $1,233 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x6815...9edb Houston Astros, $1,137 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x2f4e...1fb8 Seattle Mariners, $1,120

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

ResolvedSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$2,858 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Seattle Mariners
39¢
Houston Astros
61¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 13 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
3
21-22
Live
10
0-0, 0 out
HOU
3
16-27
SEA -130HOU +108O/U 9Polymarket: 39¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Weather
80° Mostly cloudy
Price History — “Houston Astros
90¢
72¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

1h ago

$1,314 on Seattle Mariners at 28¢

28¢39¢11¢

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

2h ago

$1,544 on Seattle Mariners at 54¢

54¢39¢15¢

Related Theses