Part of: SMU vs. Florida State
Spread: SMU (-4.5)
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 7 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Florida State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $234,622.
Categories: Sports, CFB, Games
Notable Trades
Thin-market whale scaling into SMU
A heavily loss-making whale added roughly $78,000 to SMU in an exceptionally thin market, driving a sharp repricing despite opposing Florida State flow from three other wallets.
- The wallet added about $78,000 to SMU around 50¢ and already held roughly $145,000, showing substantial conviction.
- The market had only $525 in 24-hour volume, while SMU rose about 24.5 percentage points to 66% after the buying.
- This is worth studying rather than blindly copying: the bettor has a 47% win rate and is down nearly $12.9 million historically.
$77,098 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 47%
Thin-market whale scaling into SMU
A heavily loss-making whale added roughly $78,000 to SMU in an exceptionally thin market, driving a sharp repricing despite opposing Florida State flow from three other wallets.
- The wallet added about $78,000 to SMU around 50¢ and already held roughly $145,000, showing substantial conviction.
- The market had only $525 in 24-hour volume, while SMU rose about 24.5 percentage points to 66% after the buying.
- This is worth studying rather than blindly copying: the bettor has a 47% win rate and is down nearly $12.9 million historically.
$77,154 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 47%
Thin-market whale scaling into SMU
A heavily loss-making whale added roughly $78,000 to SMU in an exceptionally thin market, driving a sharp repricing despite opposing Florida State flow from three other wallets.
- The wallet added about $78,000 to SMU around 50¢ and already held roughly $145,000, showing substantial conviction.
- The market had only $525 in 24-hour volume, while SMU rose about 24.5 percentage points to 66% after the buying.
- This is worth studying rather than blindly copying: the bettor has a 47% win rate and is down nearly $12.9 million historically.
$78,230 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 47%
Serial trader catches sharp SMU move
A serial cross-market trader placed a $2,140 bet at 45¢ in an exceptionally thin market, followed by a 24.5-point price rise to 66¢.
- A $2,140 bet was more than four times the market's prior 24-hour volume.
- SMU rose from 45¢ to 66¢ after the purchase, a 21-point gain in the market price.
- This bettor has traded 1,087 events and is up $2.1 million, though the 60% win rate is only moderate.
$2,140 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0xbca0...9705 — SMU, $4,756 (61% win rate)
- 0x9311...7c73 — SMU, $200
- 0x0fde...0258 — SMU, $27
- 0x16be...d68c — SMU, $23
- 0x47c9...2038 — SMU, $13
- 0xeeaa...15ce — SMU, $9
- 0xaf1f...4af9 — SMU, $6
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