Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

This prediction market covers whether Spain will beat Cabo Verde by 2 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup game on June 15, 2026. It resolves to Spain if Spain cover the -1.5 spread; otherwise it resolves to Cabo Verde, based on the official final score from FIFA. PolySpotter is tracking $40,623 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from a profitable sports whale backing Spain and another bettor on the underdog cover.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,623.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable sports whale stacking Spain

Highly profitable high-volume sports wallet is building a Spain -1.5 position amid a major pre-event volume spike and broader cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 78k resolved bets and $1.38M in lifetime profit.
  • They are active across 6 related markets with nearly $95k deployed, suggesting a broader match thesis.
  • Spain moved sharply to 74¢ after some fills near 31–32¢, and the wallet still added at 73–74¢.

$25,378 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable bettor on underdog cover

A mildly profitable sports bettor put $15.2k on Cabo Verde to cover in what was previously a quiet market during a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up about $9.7k across 42 resolved markets, though their edge is not elite.
  • They put $15.2k on Cabo Verde at 28¢, a large position versus the market’s earlier quiet volume.
  • The market saw a 578x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh attention before the match.

$15,245 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0x361b...74fe Cabo Verde, $97,800 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Spain, $23,886 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 Spain, $21,859 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x0346...52a5 Spain, $15,200 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x9744...4789 Spain, $13,303 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xdf91...92bd Spain, $6,757 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x0042...321e Cabo Verde, $5,000 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x7ea5...de7b Spain, $3,426 (62% win rate)
  9. 0x160b...4296 Cabo Verde, $3,237 (76% win rate)
  10. 0xa697...59d5 Spain, $2,532

Related Theses

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Spread: Spain (-1.5)

13hSpain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets$40,623 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Spain
75¢
Cabo Verde
26¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Spain
76¢
73¢
70¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

3h ago

$25,378 on Spain at 74¢

74¢75¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

3h ago

$15,245 on Cabo Verde at 28¢

28¢26¢2¢

Related Theses