Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $249,254.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

94% win-rate serial bettor backs Argentina

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $29,600 bet on Argentina at 80%.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 290 resolved positions and earned $2.8 million in P&L.
  • They placed a fresh $29,600 position on Argentina at 80%, showing strong conviction despite the sizable stake.
  • The wallet trades across 82 events and 97 markets, suggesting a broad, repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off wager.

$29,600 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 94%

88% winner scales into Argentina

A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 88% win rate is adding $12,000 to an existing Argentina position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 2,142 resolved positions and earned $3.78 million in profit.
  • They added about $12,000 to Argentina at 79¢, reinforcing an existing $69,217 position.
  • Trading activity is running 78.4 times above its historical average, adding momentum to the conviction signal.

$11,973 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 89%

Serial trader scaling into Argentina

A consistently profitable serial cross-market trader is adding $6,500 to an existing Argentina position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 69 resolved trades and is up $38,378 lifetime.
  • They added $6,500 to an existing Argentina position, showing continued conviction at 79¢.
  • Trading volume was 169 times the historical average, adding broader market-interest confirmation.

$6,500 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 74%

3-wallet funded cluster backs Argentina

Three linked wallets deployed $181,110 on Argentina amid a 207x pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated directional signal despite mixed trader records.

  • Three linked wallets bought $181,110 of Argentina, with the position representing a large concentrated bet.
  • Trading activity was 207x the historical average, suggesting a sharp increase in conviction before the match.
  • One participating bettor has a 61% win rate and is up $3.7M lifetime, though the group’s records are mixed.

$181,110 on Argentina

92% winner on spread

A highly proven sports/cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $319k profit bought Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $319k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 150 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Argentina at 80¢, backing Spain not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,607 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% winner on spread

A highly proven sports/cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $319k profit bought Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $319k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 150 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Argentina at 80¢, backing Spain not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,897 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% winner adding to position

Proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and large lifetime profit is adding to an Argentina spread position at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $320K lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing Argentina position, now with over $13K total exposure around 80¢.
  • Their cross-market sports track record spans 151 events with the same 92% win rate.

$5,793 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% winner on spread

A highly proven sports/cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $319k profit bought Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $319k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 150 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Argentina at 80¢, backing Spain not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,897 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 93%

88% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable, high-volume bettor with an 88% long-run win rate is buying Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.66M lifetime.
  • They have a huge sample size: 2,097 resolved positions at an average winning price of 58¢.
  • This is part of a strong cross-market pattern, with 1,172 events traded and an 88% win rate.

$5,878 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x76ad...c939 Outcome 98699639, $1,227,505
  2. 0xb61b...8a06 Outcome 98699639, $150,000 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xf892...7f58 Outcome 98699639, $102,247 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xe275...f1ee Outcome 98699639, $76,588 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x66ac...0118 Outcome 98699639, $49,999 (9% win rate)
  6. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 98699639, $49,517 (88% win rate)
  7. 0x94d7...bef5 Outcome 98699639, $35,640 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 98699639, $34,659 (66% win rate)
  9. 0xf93f...f94b Outcome 98699639, $31,772 (78% win rate)
  10. 0x4572...5e86 Outcome 98699639, $28,750 (76% win rate)

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Spread: Spain (-1.5)

ResolvedSpain vs. Argentina - More Markets$249,254 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Argentina
85¢
81¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

54d ago

$29,600 on Argentina at 80¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

54d ago

$11,973 on Argentina at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

54d ago

$6,500 on Argentina at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

54d ago

$181,110 on Argentina at 79¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

56d ago

$2,607 on Argentina at 80¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

56d ago

$2,897 on Argentina at 80¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

56d ago

$5,793 on Argentina at 80¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

56d ago

$2,897 on Argentina at 80¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

57d ago

$5,878 on Argentina at 80¢

Related Theses