Part of: France vs. Spain - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,680.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports trader is adding to an existing France spread position amid a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the 88¢ entry is a heavy-favorite bet.

  • This bettor is up $620K across 330 resolved markets and regularly trades across related sports markets.
  • They are adding to an existing France position, bringing this market exposure to about $17K at an 88¢ average entry.
  • Market activity jumped sharply before the match, with this trade following the same direction as current odds momentum.

$7,943 on France | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp 4-wallet France cluster

Four wallets are adding to the same France position, including two strong sports-style bettors with 93–94% resolved win rates and positive P&L.

  • Four wallets bought France at 89¢, adding $7.2k in the same direction.
  • Two of the buyers win 93–94% of resolved bets and are profitable over 100+ outcomes.
  • All four already held France and are adding, which signals increased conviction rather than a first small test.

$9,738 on France

Top Holders

  1. 0x47fd...4126 Outcome 10690631, $13,392 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 10690631, $5,922 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x8325...19cc Outcome 10690631, $5,883 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x9c1d...b646 Outcome 10690631, $5,618
  5. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 10690631, $5,496 (61% win rate)
  6. 0xdaef...54e9 Outcome 10690631, $4,998 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x9f50...3191 Outcome 10690631, $4,200 (74% win rate)
  8. 0xaaa3...653b Outcome 10690631, $4,102 (80% win rate)
  9. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 10690631, $3,314 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x3e9e...b594 Outcome 10690631, $2,372 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Favorite wins 2026 World Cup

Covers 7 related markets

Favorites win the World Cup

Covers 6 related markets

Spain won't win by three

Covers 2 related markets

Iran stays in negotiations

Covers 1 related market

Zverev beats Sinner

Covers 1 related market

Belgium fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Algeria wins on July 2

Covers 1 related market

Argentina will win

Covers 1 related market

France keeps it close

Covers 1 related market

Djokovic won't win 2026 Wimbledon

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Spain - More Markets$17,680 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "France". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Spain
64¢
37¢
10¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

4d ago

$7,943 on France at 88¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

4d ago

$9,738 on France at 89¢

Related Theses