Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

This prediction market tracks whether Spain will beat Saudi Arabia by 3 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If Spain wins by at least three goals, the market resolves to Spain; any other result resolves to Saudi Arabia, with official scoring from FIFA. PolySpotter is tracking $25,062 in smart money activity across 5 signals, including recent sharp interest on the Spain spread.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Saudi Arabia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

22 smart money signals detected, totaling $309,286.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Elite 95% sports bettor

Elite proven bettor with 95% win rate and $6.49M profit bought $75k of Spain -2.5 at 56¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $6.49M lifetime.
  • They put $75k on Spain at 56¢, a meaningful position even in a liquid market.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $14.2M deployed across 550 events.

$75,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 66% record over 180 resolved bets is taking Saudi Arabia at 45¢ before a heavily traded Spain spread market.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 180 resolved bets and is up $56K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 45 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 45¢ backs Saudi Arabia to keep the game within 2 goals despite Spain being favored.

$4,575 on Saudi Arabia | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial sports trader with $2.1M lifetime P&L bought Spain amid a large pre-event volume spike and upward price momentum.

  • This bettor is up $2.1M across 1,262 resolved bets, with a 60% hit rate.
  • They have traded 214 events and $3.4M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable event-betting strategy.
  • Spain has seen heavy pre-game interest, with volume 17.9x above normal and odds up 5 points today.

$2,022 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 60%

91% sports winner buying

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Spain -2.5 at 55¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $6.6K lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 53¢, close to this 55¢ Spain buy.
  • Spain has already moved up 5 points today, and this sharp wallet is still adding at current odds.

$1,925 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 91%

87% sports bettor

Surfaced because the only signal is a strong sports track record: this wallet has won 87% of 31 resolved bets at roughly even-money prices, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 31 resolved bets, mostly around even-money odds.
  • They are taking Saudi Arabia +2.5 at 45¢, against a Spain spread price that has moved up 5 points today.
  • The stake is modest in a very liquid market, so the track record is the main reason to follow it.

$1,151 on Saudi Arabia | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp cluster on underdog spread

High-scoring cluster: three wallets put $15.4k on Saudi Arabia +2.5, including a wallet with 27 wins in 31 resolved positions and a new repeat large bettor.

  • Three wallets are all taking Saudi Arabia +2.5 for $15.4k total.
  • One bettor has won 27 of 31 resolved positions, suggesting a strong sports-betting track record.
  • A 2-day-old wallet has now been flagged 8 times for large bets, with $51.6k total flagged.

$15,389 on Saudi Arabia

Profitable 78% sports bettor

Surface because this is a proven profitable bettor with a 78% record and clear edge, even though the trade size and composite score are modest.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up about $2,018 lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at average 57¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices meaningfully.
  • They bought Spain at 55¢ as the spread price has already moved up 4 points today.

$1,006 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 78%

Elite sports sharp buying spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 82% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is buying Spain -2.5 at 55¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market sports track record: 62 events and $322K traded.
  • Entry at 55¢ implies they see Spain covering by 3+ as underpriced.

$1,378 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 82%

New repeat sports whale

New 8-day wallet has repeatedly placed large bets ($341.5k flagged) and is 8-for-8 on resolved positions, though this specific $6k bet is modest relative to a very liquid market.

  • This 8-day-old wallet is already 8-for-8 on resolved bets.
  • It has been flagged 22 times for large bets, totaling $341.5k in recent activity.
  • Buying Saudi Arabia at 45¢ is a contrarian position against Spain covering the spread.

$6,000 on Saudi Arabia | Wallet win rate: 100%

99% winning sports whale

Elite high-volume bettor with a 99% resolved record and $13.8M lifetime profit bought $27K of Spain -2.5 at 54¢.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 1,083 resolved positions and is up $13.8M lifetime.
  • They put $27K on Spain -2.5 at 54¢, a meaningful bet from a proven sharp wallet.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 81 events with a 99% hit rate.

$27,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe549...2d54 Spain, $245,576 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x85f0...3f67 Saudi Arabia, $228,387 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x224a...a3d5 Saudi Arabia, $214,714 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x35e2...9dcb Spain, $155,770 (40% win rate)
  5. 0xcd65...ee96 Spain, $133,929 (95% win rate)
  6. 0x5c3a...020b Spain, $100,000 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x204f...5e14 Saudi Arabia, $96,242 (54% win rate)
  8. 0x10a6...4d8b Saudi Arabia, $82,376 (74% win rate)
  9. 0xc3c3...eec8 Spain, $50,000 (99% win rate)
  10. 0xf751...fec8 Saudi Arabia, $50,000 (74% win rate)

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Spread: Spain (-2.5)

58mSpain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets$309,286 tracked22 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames
Spain
56¢
Saudi Arabia
45¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Saudi Arabia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Spain
57¢
51¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

14m ago

$75,000 on Spain at 56¢

56¢56¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

24m ago

$4,575 on Saudi Arabia at 45¢

45¢45¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

29m ago

$2,022 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

47m ago

$1,925 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

2h ago

$1,151 on Saudi Arabia at 45¢

45¢45¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

2h ago

$15,389 on Saudi Arabia at 45¢

45¢45¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

3h ago

$1,006 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

4h ago

$1,378 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

4h ago

$6,000 on Saudi Arabia at 45¢

45¢45¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

5h ago

$27,000 on Spain at 54¢

54¢56¢2¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

6h ago

$1,080 on Spain at 54¢

54¢56¢2¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

8h ago

$4,901 on Saudi Arabia at 49¢

49¢45¢4¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

8h ago

$2,000 on Spain at 50¢

50¢56¢6¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

9h ago

$1,188 on Spain at 49¢

49¢56¢7¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

9h ago

$3,998 on Spain at 49¢

49¢56¢7¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

9h ago

$2,810 on Spain at 49¢

49¢56¢7¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

9h ago

$3,986 on Spain at 49¢

49¢56¢7¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

9h ago

$1,176 on Spain at 49¢

49¢56¢7¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

12h ago

$3,000 on Spain at 48¢

48¢56¢8¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

15h ago

$114,596 on Spain at 47¢

47¢56¢9¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

5h ago

$18,803 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

22h ago

$16,302 on Saudi Arabia at 51¢

51¢45¢6¢

Related Theses