Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Saudi Arabia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $207,352.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

11-wallet one-sided steam

Coordinated 11-wallet Spain buying totaling $436K plus a 41-point price move and 284x volume spike makes this worth surfacing despite this wallet's weak lifetime P&L.

Eleven wallets bought the same Spain side for $436K, including two linked wallets.
The market jumped 41 points on a 284x volume spike, showing strong one-way momentum.
This wallet added about $34K of Spain exposure, including buys as high as 88¢.

$28,979 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 58%

11-wallet one-sided steam

Coordinated 11-wallet Spain buying totaling $436K plus a 41-point price move and 284x volume spike makes this worth surfacing despite this wallet's weak lifetime P&L.

Eleven wallets bought the same Spain side for $436K, including two linked wallets.
The market jumped 41 points on a 284x volume spike, showing strong one-way momentum.
This wallet added about $34K of Spain exposure, including buys as high as 88¢.

$45,381 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 58%

Sharp wallets fade Spain

High-scoring coordinated flow with multiple profitable sports wallets, led by a 91% winner, fading Spain after a major price surge though some activity is profit-taking.

A bettor who wins 91% of resolved positions and is up $48k sold Spain at 86¢, equivalent to taking Saudi Arabia at 14¢.
Seven wallets put $78k on the Saudi side while market volume spiked 295x above normal.
Spain already jumped 52 points, so this looks like sharp wallets fading an expensive favorite.

$77,999 on Saudi Arabia

Elite bettor plus 11-wallet surge

Elite 87% winner bought Spain at 47¢ alongside heavy one-sided coordinated flow, with the market now repriced sharply to 84¢.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $670k lifetime.
11 wallets bought the same Spain side for $436k, including linked wallets.
Spain moved from 47¢ to 84¢ after the flow, so the original entry was much better than the current price.

$2,611 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 86%

11-wallet Spain surge

Strong Spain-side cluster and massive price/volume move make this worth surfacing, though this specific wallet was closing a losing Saudi Arabia position rather than opening fresh conviction.

11 wallets bought the same Spain side for $436K, with 2 wallets linked by funding source.
The market saw a 284x volume spike and Spain’s price jumped about 56 percentage points in the last day.
This specific trade was a Saudi Arabia sell, so it is best read as joining the Spain move rather than a clean new sharp-wallet entry.

$1,028 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable bettors fade Spain surge

Coordinated contrarian Saudi +3.5 flow is worth surfacing because multiple serial cross-market bettors, including two profitable wallets, leaned against Spain after a huge price surge.

Three wallets put $16.9k toward Saudi +3.5, mostly by selling Spain at 82–83¢.
Two wallets have profitable records, up about $380k and $241k across resolved markets.
The market saw a 22.5x volume spike and Spain jumped 47 points, so this looks like a coordinated fade of a big move.

$16,894 on Saudi Arabia

Five-wallet one-sided push

Five wallets bought the same Spain -3.5 outcome amid a 59x pre-event volume spike, with one large buyer showing an 88% resolved-bet track record.

Five wallets bought $21.5k the same way, led by a $12.2k entry at 33¢.
Volume is running 59x above the market’s normal pace, with odds already up 3 points today.
The largest buyer has won 15 of 17 resolved positions, suggesting this may be sharper than routine pre-game flow.

$19,309 on Spain

88% winner cross-market push

Sharp 88% historical winner is adding a $12K Spain -3.5 bet as part of a $59K cross-market position amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved positions and is placing $12K on this spread.
They have put $59K across 4 markets in the same match, suggesting a broader Spain-focused thesis.
Market volume spiked 203x versus its historical average, with Spain’s price up 4 points in the last day.

$12,151 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 61%