Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $453,950.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Five-wallet sharp Wolves cluster

Five-wallet cluster put $38k on Timberwolves against the spread, led by profitable high-volume sports bettors and accompanied by a major price move toward Timberwolves.

  • Five wallets all backed Timberwolves, with $38k concentrated on the same side.
  • One bettor in the cluster wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $301k lifetime.
  • The move pushed Spurs down from the 50–52¢ range to 46¢, matching the Timberwolves flow.

$38,349 on Timberwolves

7-wallet linked spread push

Strong one-sided coordinated flow: 7 wallets bought the same spread side for $150k, with 5 linked by funding and a 32x pre-game volume spike.

  • 7 wallets bought the same side for $150k, and 5 appear funded together.
  • Market volume spiked 32x before tipoff, suggesting this is part of a broader rush into the same position.
  • Entry at 52¢ is slightly below the current 54¢, leaving modest room to follow the move.

$15,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 56%

4-wallet sharp spread cluster

Four wallets bought $37k of Timberwolves +10.5 into a 48x volume spike, including profitable high-volume sports traders, and the price has already moved from 49¢ to 57¢.

  • Four wallets bought $37k on Timberwolves +10.5 in the same burst, pushing the price from 49¢ to 57¢.
  • One buyer has won 81% of 1,399 resolved bets and is up $301k lifetime.
  • This market saw a 48x volume spike before the game, suggesting strong pre-game conviction.

$37,246 on Timberwolves

Linked cluster backing Spurs

Strong coordinated flow: 7 wallets, including 5 linked by funding source, bought $150k of Spurs spread exposure alongside a high-volume sports bettor.

  • 7 wallets are all buying Spurs, totaling $150k on the same side.
  • 5 of those wallets share a funder, suggesting one actor is spreading a large conviction bet.
  • This wallet has traded 6,000+ resolved markets with a 60% win rate and is up $62k lifetime.

$5,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 60%

Linked sharp cluster

Strong one-sided Spurs flow from 7 wallets, including 5 linked wallets, is backed by a profitable bettor with a 75% record and a $150k same-direction cluster.

  • A profitable bettor with a 75% record and $162.9k in P&L is buying this side.
  • 7 wallets have all bet the same way, totaling $150.3k, with 5 wallets sharing a funder.
  • Entry at 52¢ is close to the market price and implies a near-even bet with sharp backing.

$9,371 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 75%

Million-profit sharp backs underdog

Highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet is buying Timberwolves spread alongside strong one-sided and cross-market flow.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.72M lifetime.
  • Four wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $128.6K in one-sided flow.
  • The same thesis appears across 3 markets in this event, with $154.5K positioned and volume spiking 112x.

$10,855 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 85%

7-wallet linked spread push

High-conviction coordinated flow: 7 wallets, including 5 linked by funder, bought $143k of Spurs spread into a major pre-game volume spike.

  • 7 wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $143k on Spurs -10.5.
  • 5 of the wallets share a funder, suggesting one coordinated high-conviction position.
  • The buying was larger than available liquidity and came during an 85x pre-game volume spike.

$143,007 on Spurs

85% winner joins Wolves cluster

Elite sports wallet with 85% resolved win rate is involved in a large NBA spread move, with 4-wallet one-sided Timberwolves buying and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.72M lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the Timberwolves side together for $128k of one-way flow.
  • The latest entries came at 49¢, implying nearly even odds despite heavy pre-game movement.

$81,062 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 85%

97% winner making $112K bet

Elite 97% win-rate sports wallet placed $112.5K on Timberwolves at 49¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $590K lifetime.
  • They bought $112.5K of Timberwolves at 49¢, implying roughly a 2x payout if right.
  • Four wallets are all betting Timberwolves, totaling $128.6K with a 3400x volume spike.

$112,529 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 97%

Four-wallet spread push

Four wallets pushed $128.6k onto Timberwolves +10.5 right before tip, with a notable volume spike and one bettor showing modest profitable history.

  • Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $128.6k on Timberwolves +10.5.
  • This trade came right before the game window, when sharp NBA spread money often shows up.
  • The visible bettor has won 70% of resolved bets and is up $7.4k lifetime.

$1,530 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4924...3782 Outcome 10188846, $476,274 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x0767...36b0 Outcome 88584657, $229,806 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xc807...c12b Outcome 10188846, $130,000 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x84cb...28ad Outcome 88584657, $37,428 (98% win rate)
  5. 0x5268...135d Outcome 88584657, $21,387 (28% win rate)
  6. 0x418d...88a3 Outcome 10188846, $20,021 (75% win rate)
  7. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 88584657, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 88584657, $6,852 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xf57e...bbd6 Outcome 10188846, $5,000 (95% win rate)
  10. 0xc0ff...9953 Outcome 10188846, $4,139 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Resolved$453,950 tracked10 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
104
1-0
Final
SAS
102
0-1
Q1: 24-23Q2: 21-22Q3: 24-27Q4: 35-30
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -10.5O/U: 218.5ML: +310/-395
Win Prob
19%
Last Play
Game End
Q4 0:00 · MIN 104-102 SAS

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

2h ago

$38,349 on Timberwolves at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$15,000 on Spurs at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

2h ago

$37,246 on Timberwolves at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$5,000 on Spurs at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$9,371 on Spurs at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$10,855 on Timberwolves at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$143,007 on Spurs at 51¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$81,062 on Timberwolves at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$112,529 on Timberwolves at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

3h ago

$1,530 on Timberwolves at 51¢

Related Theses