Part of: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,888.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

90% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.32M P&L is taking the underdog side in a liquid NBA spread market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up $1.32M across 484 resolved positions
  • They bought Trail Blazers at 33¢ against a market pricing Spurs cover at 67%, signaling a clear contrarian view
  • This wallet also trades heavily across related markets — 732 markets and $2.7M in volume — showing a long track record, not a one-off bet

$1,039 on Trail Blazers | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor on spread

A very high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought Trail Blazers +10.5 at 44¢, making this a credible sharp side worth noting despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 3,003 resolved trades and is up $5.6M lifetime
  • They have traded 899 markets across 738 events, which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge
  • Bought Trail Blazers +10.5 at 44¢, implying they think the underdog covers more often than the market does

$1,928 on Trail Blazers | Wallet win rate: 71%

5-wallet Spurs cluster

Five wallets piled into Spurs -10.5 together, including two linked wallets and several highly profitable cross-market traders, creating a coordinated directional signal worth watching despite the bet landing slightly above current price.

  • Five wallets all bought Spurs -10.5 within minutes, with two funded from the same source.
  • This group includes proven bettors: one wins 74% of 2,120 bets and another is up over $108k lifetime.
  • They paid 57¢ while the market is now 52¢, so this is only worth following if Spurs stays below about 63¢.

$6,946 on Spurs

94% win-rate live bettor

A highly proven sports trader with a 94% win rate and $2.26M profit made a $22.1k live bet on Spurs -10.5 just 2.4 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with real edge.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $2.26M lifetime
  • They placed a $22.1k bet just 2.4 minutes before resolution, suggesting a strong live-game read
  • They have done this across 40 markets and 32 events, not as a one-off hot streak

$22,104 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% win-rate bettor

A bettor with a 98% win rate and $663k profit bought Spurs into an extreme pre-game volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade despite only one formal detection signal.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $663k lifetime.
  • They put nearly $9.9k on Spurs at 57¢ as market activity surged 1,520x above normal.
  • Entry at 57¢ is only slightly above the current market, leaving room to follow the same side.

$9,871 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xac25...433f Outcome 17595465, $99,689 (97% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 17595465, $8,102 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 17595465, $4,477 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x5e30...acbf Outcome 17595465, $3,295 (75% win rate)
  5. 0xf28e...cab2 Outcome 17595465, $3,147 (89% win rate)
  6. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 17595465, $2,917 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 17595465, $2,000 (77% win rate)
  8. 0xe401...7b88 Outcome 17595465, $1,685 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 17595465, $1,640 (79% win rate)
  10. 0x8230...5121 Outcome 17595465, $1,501 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Cavaliers keep low-scoring game close

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring close game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

ResolvedTrail Blazers vs. Spurs$41,888 tracked5 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 19 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

POR
42-40
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -11.5O/U: 222.5ML: +500/-700
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

45d ago

$1,039 on Trail Blazers at 33¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

45d ago

$1,928 on Trail Blazers at 44¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

45d ago

$6,946 on Spurs at 57¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

45d ago

$22,104 on Spurs at 56¢

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

45d ago

$9,871 on Spurs at 57¢

Related Theses