Part of: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,164.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

97% winner taking profits

A very sharp wallet with a 97% win rate sold out of a Spurs position that went from 72¢ to 100%, which is worth noting mainly as profit-taking by a proven bettor rather than a fresh directional entry.

  • This bettor wins 97% of their trades and is up $21k across 35 resolved positions
  • They sold Spurs at 72¢ and the market is now 100¢, so this looks like a well-timed exit from a winning position
  • Volume jumped 13.7x and Spurs moved up 16 points, confirming strong one-way action in this market

$1,063 on Trail Blazers | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp trader fading blowout

Four wallets piled into Trail Blazers against a sharp one-sided price move, and the cleanest signal in the group is a 97% win-rate trader effectively buying Blazers by selling Spurs at 72¢.

  • One wallet in this cluster wins 97% of its bets and is up $21k, and it effectively bought Trail Blazers at 28¢ by selling Spurs at 72¢
  • Four wallets all bet Trail Blazers within minutes, putting nearly $6.9k behind the same side
  • They were fading a fast move after Spurs jumped 16 points in about 2 minutes, suggesting they saw the spread as overextended

$6,897 on Trail Blazers

90% win-rate bettor

A very high-win-rate sports bettor with a massive sample just bought Spurs despite already-rich pricing, making this sharp flow worth watching even though the market is liquid and the price has since moved against them.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades across 1,281 bets and is up $166k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 425 markets over 242 events — which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge
  • They paid 83¢ for Spurs -11.5, a pricey entry that implies strong conviction even after a 22-point move in the last day

$2,212 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 90%

97% win-rate bettor buys dip

A wallet with an exceptional 97% win rate bought Spurs after a sharp 21-point price drop, suggesting a high-skill bettor stepping into a sudden dislocation.

  • This bettor wins 97% of their trades and is up $21k on nearly $74k invested
  • They bought after Spurs odds dropped 21 points in about 4 minutes, a strong buy-the-dip signal
  • Entry at 62¢ on a liquid NBA spread market suggests they saw the selloff as overdone

$1,839 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 97%

3-wallet contrarian cluster

Three wallets piled into Trail Blazers in seconds during a sharp pregame volume and price move, creating a coordinated contrarian buy setup despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets bought Trail Blazers within seconds for $5.8k total as money rushed into this market.
  • One of the wallets has bet across 34 related markets and another is up $74.5k lifetime, suggesting this is more than random retail flow.
  • They bought at 40-43¢ while the market now sits at 32¢, showing they stepped in aggressively during a fast move.

$5,834 on Trail Blazers

27-0 sharp sports bettor

A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 27-for-27 record and broad cross-market success just bought Spurs -11.5, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 27 of 27 resolved trades and is up $81.9k on $201k invested
  • They have bet across 57 events and 64 markets, which makes this look like repeatable skill rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Spurs at 67¢, with the market now at 63¢, offering a slightly better follow price

$1,485 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%

19-0 sharp buys dip

A highly profitable cross-market trader with a perfect 19-for-19 resolved record bought Trail Blazers right after a sharp 16-point price drop, which is notable even in a liquid NBA spread market.

  • This bettor has won 19 of 19 resolved trades and is up about $376k overall
  • They bought Trail Blazers at 38¢ after the price dropped 16 points in about 2 minutes
  • This wallet has traded 47 markets across 41 events, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet

$3,752 on Trail Blazers | Wallet win rate: 94%

Pro sports sharp re-entering

A very profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 71% win rate is opening a fresh $2.5k position on Spurs in this spread market, making the trade worth tracking despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 2,558 of 3,584 resolved bets and is up $2.2M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across markets — 912 markets over 372 events — which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • This looks like a fresh Spurs bet at 62¢, not profit-taking, since the earlier position was tiny and already closed

$2,528 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 67%

Perfect-record serial bettor

A proven cross-market bettor with a perfect 19-for-19 resolved record bought Trail Blazers +11.5 at 40¢, making this sharp action worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 19 of 19 resolved markets and is up $375.7k overall
  • They have traded across 41 events and $758k total, which looks more like a repeat sharp than a one-off bet
  • They bought Trail Blazers at 40¢, a price that has already moved slightly in their favor to 37¢ on the other side

$1,945 on Trail Blazers | Wallet win rate: 94%

27-0 sharp NBA bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 27-for-27 resolved record and broad cross-market success just bought Spurs -11.5 at 65¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the market's high liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 27 of 27 resolved trades and is up $81.9k
  • They have also traded 63 markets across 56 events with a perfect record so far
  • Bought Spurs at 65¢, implying they see the favorite covering as better than the market now shows at 62¢

$2,969 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xad2b...f091 Outcome 29942257, $74,930 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x68df...4815 Outcome 29942257, $39,480 (57% win rate)
  3. 0xac25...433f Outcome 29942257, $29,975 (97% win rate)
  4. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 29942257, $26,724 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 29942257, $24,972 (67% win rate)
  6. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 29942257, $11,419 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 29942257, $7,414 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x2734...6d9e Outcome 29942257, $3,527 (99% win rate)
  9. 0x7760...21f0 Outcome 29942257, $3,252 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x623b...8fac Outcome 29942257, $2,592 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

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Thunder win by seven

Covers 9 related markets

Knicks edge Spurs in shootout

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Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

ResolvedTrail Blazers vs. Spurs$64,164 tracked17 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 19 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

POR
42-40
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -11.5O/U: 222.5ML: +500/-700
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$1,063 on Trail Blazers at 28¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$6,897 on Trail Blazers at 28¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$2,212 on Spurs at 83¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$1,839 on Spurs at 62¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$5,834 on Trail Blazers at 41¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$1,485 on Spurs at 67¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$3,752 on Trail Blazers at 38¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$2,528 on Spurs at 62¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$1,945 on Trail Blazers at 40¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$2,969 on Spurs at 65¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$5,979 on Trail Blazers at 40¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$1,184 on Spurs at 56¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$1,728 on Trail Blazers at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$9,856 on Spurs at 52¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$4,473 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$8,679 on Spurs at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

54d ago

$1,741 on Spurs at 48¢

Related Theses