Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,784.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,908 | Wallet win rate: 56%

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,060 | Wallet win rate: 56%

94% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary 94% win rate and strong historical edge is buying Spurs -11.5 at 48¢ during a major pre-game volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $176k on $405k invested.
  • They bought Spurs -11.5 at 48¢, a price that implies close to even odds despite their unusually strong track record.
  • Market volume is running about 83x normal, showing sharp money is active before the game.

$1,014 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven cross-market sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with 334 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L bought Spurs -11.5 into an unusually large pregame volume spike, making this worth watching despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has 334 resolved bets, wins 59% of them, and is up about $50.6k lifetime.
  • The market saw an 82.9x volume spike before tipoff, which suggests sharper money is getting involved.
  • They bought Spurs at 48¢, a relatively cheap entry in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$4,762 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 59%

94% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and nearly $176k profit is taking a fresh position on Spurs -11.5 at 48¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $176k across 143 resolved bets
  • They bought Spurs -11.5 at 48¢, a price that implies close to a coin flip
  • The edge comes from the bettor, not whale size — this is a sharp track-record signal

$1,018 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 94%

85% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 85% win rate and $1.47M in realized profit is taking Trail Blazers +11.5 around 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 770 resolved trades and is up $1.47M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across markets and events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Trail Blazers at 51¢, close to even odds, implying they see the spread as mispriced.

$1,023 on Trail Blazers | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Spurs, $210,179 (25% win rate)
  2. 0xc807...c12b Trail Blazers, $100,000 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xc660...bd28 Trail Blazers, $40,800 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xb652...2db4 Spurs, $40,311 (39% win rate)
  5. 0x4fc8...6ca6 Spurs, $39,909 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x84db...aeeb Trail Blazers, $39,604 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x9495...9a27 Trail Blazers, $36,803 (67% win rate)
  8. 0xa8e0...ad50 Trail Blazers, $31,412 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x5c10...6482 Trail Blazers, $12,639
  10. 0x3a6c...236d Trail Blazers, $10,200 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Resolved$10,784 tracked6 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Spurs
49¢
Trail Blazers
52¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

POR
1-3
SAS
3-1
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -10.5O/U: 218.5ML: +410/-550
Win Prob
Poly: 49¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

33m ago

$1,908

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

49m ago

$1,060

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

1h ago

$1,014 on Spurs at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

1h ago

$4,762 on Spurs at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

1h ago

$1,018 on Spurs at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

1h ago

$1,023 on Trail Blazers at 51¢

51¢52¢1¢

Related Theses