Part of: Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,942.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable trio caught line move

Three wallets bought Timberwolves +11.5 before a sharp move from the mid-40s/50s to 68%, including two highly profitable long-history bettors.

  • Three wallets bought the same side before Timberwolves moved to 68¢.
  • Two of the bettors have large lifetime profits, including one up $5.6M and another up $2.9M.
  • The best entry was 42–55¢, implying they caught a major mispricing before the market adjusted.

$5,980 on Timberwolves

Profitable serial sports bettor

Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 64% long-run win rate and $5.6M profit is buying Timberwolves across a broader same-event thesis.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 1,314 resolved trades and is up $5.6M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.1M tracked across 178 events.
  • Entry at 45¢ has already moved to about 55¢, suggesting the market followed their Timberwolves position.

$1,189 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable sports cluster

Three coordinated wallets, including a highly profitable sports bettor up $5.6M lifetime, are buying Spurs -11.5 near even money shortly before the game.

  • One wallet in the cluster is up $5.6M lifetime with a 64% win rate across 1,314 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought the same Spurs spread outcome within seconds, with two linked by a shared funder.
  • The group has heavy cross-market sports activity, including hundreds of prior events and millions in total volume.

$4,774 on Spurs

Top Holders

  1. 0x255a...3435 Timberwolves, $8,149 (37% win rate)
  2. 0x4df3...788f Spurs, $7,716 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x2005...75ea Spurs, $6,895 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x9495...9a27 Spurs, $5,517 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x5268...135d Timberwolves, $5,214 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xf284...b9f9 Spurs, $5,177 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x84cf...2f63 Timberwolves, $3,871 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x86fb...03d4 Spurs, $3,591 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x5d1d...afd2 Spurs, $3,591 (55% win rate)
  10. 0x895d...11d5 Timberwolves, $3,566 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

ResolvedTimberwolves vs. Spurs$11,942 tracked3 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Spurs
33¢
Timberwolves
68¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
49-33
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -10.5O/U: 218.5ML: +320/-410
Win Prob
Poly: 33¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started
Price History — “Timberwolves
58¢
49¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

1m ago

$5,980 on Timberwolves at 55¢

55¢68¢13¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

4m ago

$1,189 on Timberwolves at 45¢

45¢68¢23¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

1h ago

$4,774 on Spurs at 46¢

46¢33¢13¢

Related Theses