Part of: Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,510.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable NBA cross-market bettor

A high-volume profitable sports bettor is expressing a broad seven-market thesis on the same NBA event, and this Spurs spread entry has already moved sharply from 73% to 87%.

  • This bettor is up about $89.7K lifetime across more than $23.5M traded.
  • They have placed $53.4K across 7 markets in the same event, showing a broad Spurs-side thesis.
  • This trade entered at 73¢ and the market has already moved to 87¢, confirming strong momentum.

$5,568 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable trio caught line move

Three wallets bought Timberwolves +11.5 before a sharp move from the mid-40s/50s to 68%, including two highly profitable long-history bettors.

  • Three wallets bought the same side before Timberwolves moved to 68¢.
  • Two of the bettors have large lifetime profits, including one up $5.6M and another up $2.9M.
  • The best entry was 42–55¢, implying they caught a major mispricing before the market adjusted.

$5,980 on Timberwolves

Profitable serial sports bettor

Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 64% long-run win rate and $5.6M profit is buying Timberwolves across a broader same-event thesis.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 1,314 resolved trades and is up $5.6M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.1M tracked across 178 events.
  • Entry at 45¢ has already moved to about 55¢, suggesting the market followed their Timberwolves position.

$1,189 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable sports cluster

Three coordinated wallets, including a highly profitable sports bettor up $5.6M lifetime, are buying Spurs -11.5 near even money shortly before the game.

  • One wallet in the cluster is up $5.6M lifetime with a 64% win rate across 1,314 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought the same Spurs spread outcome within seconds, with two linked by a shared funder.
  • The group has heavy cross-market sports activity, including hundreds of prior events and millions in total volume.

$4,774 on Spurs

Top Holders

  1. 0xbf65...9194 Outcome 10047935, $8,924 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x895d...11d5 Outcome 10047935, $3,566 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x2c55...97d4 Outcome 10047935, $2,020 (82% win rate)
  4. 0xf1bf...492e Outcome 10047935, $1,848 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xfc23...8283 Outcome 10047935, $1,754 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x2a11...9968 Outcome 10047935, $788
  7. 0xb046...00bc Outcome 10047935, $300
  8. 0xf2fe...64f3 Outcome 10047935, $238
  9. 0x9c07...4529 Outcome 10047935, $200
  10. 0x24f5...98d2 Outcome 10047935, $100 (87% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Cavaliers win low-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

ResolvedTimberwolves vs. Spurs$17,510 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
49-33
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -10.5O/U: 218.5ML: +320/-410
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

50d ago

$5,568 on Spurs at 73¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

50d ago

$5,980 on Timberwolves at 55¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

50d ago

$1,189 on Timberwolves at 45¢

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

50d ago

$4,774 on Spurs at 46¢

Related Theses