Part of: Spurs vs. Nuggets

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $125,924.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

93% win-rate bettor

A small but notable buy from a bettor with a 93% win rate and strong edge, taking Nuggets +2.5 at 42¢ before the market moved in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $70k across 14 settled positions
  • They bought Nuggets at 42¢, and the market is now at 36¢, so the trade is already moving their way
  • The bet is modest, but it came from a wallet with an unusually strong track record rather than routine market noise

$1,824 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 95%

75% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate bought Spurs at 50¢, below the current 55¢ market price, making this a credible sharp entry despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $983k lifetime
  • They have traded 105 markets across 91 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Spurs at 50¢ and the market is already at 55¢, showing early positive price movement

$1,114 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp 3-wallet Spurs cluster

Three wallets with strong to elite track records bought Spurs -2.5 together during a major volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching despite the deep market.

  • Three wallets all bought Spurs -2.5 at 54¢ within about a minute, putting nearly $9.7k behind the same view.
  • Two of the wallets have standout records, including one up about $983k with a 75% win rate and another winning 80% of 84 resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 55x volume spike, so this cluster arrived alongside broader aggressive action rather than as an isolated bet.

$9,668 on Spurs

Serial timer, 96% win rate

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate and $6.2M profit placed a $98.5k live bet on Nuggets minutes before resolution, matching a strong serial near-resolution edge signal.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $6.2M lifetime across 185 bets.
  • They repeatedly bet right before markets resolve — 32 near-resolution bets across 21 markets with a strong recorded edge.
  • They put $98.5k on Nuggets 3 minutes before the game ended, entering at 47¢-53¢ in a liquid live market.

$98,500 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 50%

Profitable serial timer

A proven profitable serial timer bought Spurs spread shares 2.7 minutes before resolution in a live NBA market, a pattern that suggests a repeatable late-game edge despite the modest stake size.

  • This wallet is up $88.3k across 1,332 resolved bets and keeps betting right before markets close.
  • These buys hit 2.7 minutes before resolution, and the wallet has made 10 near-resolution bets across 9 markets.
  • They bought Spurs at 48¢ in a very active market, suggesting they saw late-game odds mispriced near the finish.

$2,796 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable new wallet piling in

A very new wallet with unusually strong early profits and repeated large bets is buying Nuggets into a major pregame volume surge, making this a credible conviction signal despite the modest ticket size here.

  • This wallet is less than 2 days old, has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts, and is up $75k so far
  • They have won 5 of 6 resolved bets and usually enter around 53¢, suggesting disciplined pricing rather than chasing long shots
  • This buy landed during a 382x volume spike before tipoff, showing fast money is piling into the market

$1,886 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable new wallet betting big

A very new wallet is repeatedly placing large bets and is already up $8.5k, suggesting early sharp activity worth watching despite this being a liquid NBA market.

  • This wallet is just 8 days old, has already triggered 7 large-bet alerts, and has put over $31.5k to work
  • It is already up $8.5k and has won 3 of 4 resolved bets, a strong early result for a brand-new account
  • This trade bought Spurs at 47¢, a meaningful size near the market ask with nearly $5k of fresh conviction

$4,921 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 80%

93% win-rate sharp

A bettor with an exceptional long-term track record bought Spurs spread at 47¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-money signal despite the modest stake in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of 553 resolved trades and is up about $535k lifetime
  • They bought Spurs -2.5 at 47¢, a price that suggests they see the spread as better than a coin flip
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a thin-market punt

$1,388 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 93%

$7.9M profit sharp bettor

A very active and highly profitable sports-style trader with a 66% win rate and nearly $7.9M in profit is buying Nuggets at 50¢ as volume suddenly floods into this spread market.

  • This bettor has won 1,557 of 2,373 resolved trades and is up about $7.9M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across events and still maintain a 66% win rate, which stands out at this scale
  • They bought Nuggets at 50¢ as market activity jumped nearly 393x versus its usual pace

$3,828 on Nuggets | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 86535883, $21,009 (93% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 86535883, $12,779 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 86535883, $11,724
  4. 0xaa75...f082 Outcome 86535883, $10,416 (80% win rate)
  5. 0xeffd...5a86 Outcome 86535883, $5,117 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x144e...eca0 Outcome 86535883, $4,009 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x6292...d254 Outcome 86535883, $3,070
  8. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 86535883, $2,667 (69% win rate)
  9. 0x0d13...92f3 Outcome 86535883, $2,193 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x41b4...de82 Outcome 86535883, $2,000 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

ResolvedSpurs vs. Nuggets$125,924 tracked9 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 4 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

SAS
59-19
Ball Arena
DEN
50-28
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -1.5O/U: 244.5ML: -125/+105
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$1,824 on Nuggets at 42¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$1,114 on Spurs at 50¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$9,668 on Spurs at 54¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$98,500 on Nuggets at 50¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$2,796 on Spurs at 48¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$1,886 on Nuggets at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$4,921 on Spurs at 47¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$1,388 on Spurs at 47¢

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

46d ago

$3,828 on Nuggets at 50¢

Related Theses